Log In

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Tuesday, May 16, 2023

by Al Cimaglia

May 16, 2023

Northfield Park has a 15-race card set to roll and the $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a low 14% takeout with a $10,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

5-Pirates Beach Bar (5-1)-Won his only start here and raced as a freshman on the Ohio fair circuit. This will be the 3rd start on an "A" track and at this price is well worth a swing.
6-Heave Ho (3-1)-Got a pocket ride in last but appeared to be head strong and locked at times on the left line. Did get rolling down the lane but was no match for the winner who was behind, trapped on the rail and was strong when free. Davis Jr could leave, get control, and not look back.

Race 12

3-Pit Panda (7-1)-Willing to fade the rail horse who is 3/2 and 0-15 this year. If Massey gets a close-up seat and provides a sharp steer this 4-year-old could post his 5th win in 15 starts this year. This price shot gets class and post relief tonight.
4-Elite Machine (9/2)-The Ohio-bred has one good move and has hit the board in 25 of 47 races here with 8 wins. Does have enough gate speed to get a pocket ride and looks like a trip out candidate.
7-Our Zak Whitby A (6-1)-Came a close 2nd from the 2nd tier last week and this veteran tries hard. The steer will be key, Davis Jr has options. Might leave or if a few others blast out, could duck, and look to rally off cover. Either way the price is right to use.

Race 13

1-Wheresjim (5-1)-Didn't get a good drive last time and might have won if the trip would have been managed better. Sugg takes over and will look for an efficient journey and a better finish.
7-Remembering Shorty (9/2)-Gets a little post relief and comes off a big effort to finish 2nd starting from post 8. The 6-year-old is camera shy, and this barn is 0-21 over the last 30 days but will still respect chances for a picture versus this crew.
9-Captain Butler (5/2)-Not loving the short price morning line but seems to do better racing near the top of the stack and that could happen. The rail horse and #2 do have some gate speed and if Lems can find a way to be forwardly placed chances of cashing the top check go up.

Race 14

4-Meetmeinthehallway (7/2)-This one woke up a bit after dropping to this level last week. Really had nowhere to go after cover stalled and needed to go wide when rallying for 3rd. Looking for an efficient journey and a big try.
5-Jula Magician (2-1)-Had to do a little extra work to drop into the pocket and raced well in its 1st Nfld start. Merriman takes the lines, and he was steering the well rated winner that Magician followed to the wire. Could be better after a race on the oval and should be driven aggressively.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

5,6/3,4,7/1,7,9/4,5
Total Bet=$36

Check me out on Twitter!