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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, June 25, 2023

by Al Cimaglia

June 25, 2023

Northfield Park has a 15-race card ready to go with the $1.00 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)

2-Elliot Moose (4-1)-Not going to knock the drive by Merriman in the last start but it's fair to say he may rethink the game plan. Was parked past the quarter, forced his way into the pocket and then needed to go 3 wide down the lane and lost by a nose. Doesn't have big gate speed to get the top and will probably come off cover in a race with a few fast starters.
3-Caviart Eden (3-1)-Makes its Nfld debut, is fast and knows how to win. Was claimed for $55k by Holton who trains. So, would think the turns aren't going to be an issue and may have landed in a spot to capture a win.
5-Bettor Than Spring (5-1)-Gets some post relief and has been in sharp form. Has enough gate speed to get the jump on others and can be 1st or 2nd around the opening turn.
6-Camouflage Money (12-1)-Won last coming off cover versus this kind, and the same thing could happen again as the fractions should be quick. Willing to use at this price instead of #7 the 9/5 program chalk, and will hope Lems provides the right trip.

Race 12 (10:02 PM EST)

1-Disclosure (6/5)-Wrenn should get away with a close-up seat and make an early move to get the top. Hasn't raced since 6-10, is coming off a sick scratch and makes its Northfield debut. Trixton mare has faced some tough foes and should relish the company.
6-Manofmanymuscles (3-1)-Raced well in the first 2 starts since joining the Rhoades barn and Merriman sticks. Should be forwardly placed and with a sharp steer it could be picture time.

Race 13 (10:24 PM EST)

1-Tick's A Yankin (7/2)-Loses Meriman to #8 but Myers has the speed to protect the rail and try to wire the field. Looks like a main player.
3-Slater (7-1)-This is 2nd time Lasix, and my guess is the 5-year-old could land in the pocket. Should offer a solid price and looks like a trip-out candidate.
8-Speedy Dominic A (4-1)-Here's my take, Dominic drops to a good spot to compete but probably can't wire this field. This veteran came off cover to win on 5-14 and the fractions should be lively here. The best plan might be to duck early and rally late.

Race 14 (10:46 PM EST)

1-Elver Hanover (2-1)-Might not be as fast off the gate as the one below but has enough speed to be no worse than in the pocket. This looks like a 2-horse race between these 2 veterans and this one has more back class. Could be an opportunity to post the 1st win this year.
2-Lyons Friends (5/2)-Drew off by >6 lengths versus easier in the 2nd race for the Holzman barn. It should be an interesting start and Davis Jr could look to land on the point when the wings fold. If that is the case the 6-year-old could be difficult to catch.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

2,3,5,6/1,6/1,3,8/1,2
Total Bet=$24

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