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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, July 2, 2023

by Al Cimaglia

July 2, 2023

Northfield Park has a 15-race program to begin the week. The headliners are 3-year-old Ohio breds in Buckeye Stallion series action. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

2-Tan Man (9/2)-Needs a trip and should get an up-close seat with this post draw. Merriman might find a way into the pocket behind the morning line choice #4. Should be in the mix and hopefully won't be over bet.
4-Tide Has Turned (8/5)-This 3-year-old can win if Myers lands on the point without much trouble. Does have good gate speed, has won 2 of 3 races here and will likely be a tiny price. Not completely convinced so will use a couple of others with more value.
6-Boardwalk Jack (5-1)-Raced well in the last 2 starts at ScD and will look for the upswing to continue. Regular driver Chris Page steers and if the fractions are hot this gelding could roll off cover and surprise at a solid price.

Race 12

2-Tequila Talkin (5/2)-This Burke veteran still loves to compete and is in fine form. In the last 10 races, has been no worse than 3rd at this class with the majority of starts coming at Nfld. Draws inside for the first time in months and could make the most of a cozy trip.
3-Eye Ofa Tiger AS (3-1)-Raced good in last but things didn't set-up well for Davis Jr with the outside post draw. Brushed up from last after the well-meant winner had a 2nd quarter breather and could never get a nose in front. The trip should be better tonight.

Race 13

1-Shnitzledosomethin (8/5)-Program chalk is making its Nfld debut. Has struggled this year (9-1-1-2) but should enjoy the company. Back-class could show in this spot but can't completely trust leaving from post 1 and may have to be used to protect the rail.
2-Repeal Or Replace (5-1)-Takes a few steps up in class, so this will be a test. This isn't the deepest field and wired the last group in 151.2. Should get on the engine off the gate and look to make the same game plan work.

Race 14

5-Bronx Seelster (9/5)-Dropped and popped at the Meadows and lands in another good spot to win again. Has the gate speed to get a close-up seat or land on the point once the wings fold. Should be in control of this race early on and has won 4 of 7 Nfld starts.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

2,4,6/2,3/1,2/5
Total Bet=$12

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