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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, July 22, 2023

by Al Cimaglia

July 22, 2023

Northfield Park has a 15-race card with the feature coming in Race 13, when Ohio bred colts battle for a share of a $100,000 purse in Sires Stakes action. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)

1-Navagio N (5-1)-Willing to use off a good qualifier in the 1st start at Nfld. This is a wide-open affair and made a big move in the 3rd quarter and got the lead but finished 2nd by a length in the tune-up. Lems could be closer to the lead at the 3/4 pole tonight.
2-Paradise Rock L (9/2)-Does its best work at ScD and is only 1-9 here so could be overlooked at the windows. Won here on 5-27 in convincing fashion coming off cover. Looking for an efficient trip and a nice move to sweep by down the lane.
6-She Means Business (4-1)-Will toss the last race on a sloppy track and Davis Jr has some gate speed to work with. The pedal should be down and will try to get the top. If the opening quarter goes well, chances for a picture increase.

Race 12 (10:02 PM EST)

2-Grahams Teddy Bear (6/5)-The last 2 starts have been on an off track and this mare is making her 3rd straight start at Nfld. The Merriman-Rhoades combo has been clicking and looks like a main player.
8-Day To Party (5/2)-Has enough gate speed to land in a close-up seat. This post is a challenge but helps the price and does have the ability to cash the top check. Came close here on 5-20 versus similar and Wrenn can put the Burke pupil in position to win.

Race 13 (10:24 PM EST)

1-Wicked Character (9/5)-Has won 3 of 5 here and will respect connections. But will be a small price and not sure leaving from the rail will help that much.
2-Burnnout (2-1)-This is another short price and figures to be close to the top off the gate or on the point. Will be tough to beat with a smooth trip.
6-Rockmelikeyameanit (5-1)-Looking for some value and has raced well here (3-1-1-0). Might be the fastest off the gate and just missed in the last 2 at ScD when the fractions were sizzling. The Noble barn has won 9 of 36 over the past 30 days and best to not overlook.

Race 14 (10:46 PM EST)

1-Johann (2-1)-Left alertly from the 2-hole, got on the point and hung on for the win. Faces the same kind and should be in the hunt.
4-Sandis Commando L (5/2)-Scioto shipper has raced at Nfld 2 times and posted 1 win. Steps up but has some versatility and could be the one that closes fastest of all.
5-Broadway Liberty (5-1)-Doesn't have big gate speed and broke 3rd off the gate in last. Shook free down the lane, pulled and just missed catching #1. An alert start and a sharp steer are needed but shouldn't be overlooked.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

1,2,6/2,8/1,2,6/1,4,5
Total Bet=$54

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