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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, July 30, 2023

by Al Cimaglia

July 30, 2023

Northfield Park begins the week with a 15-race card. The 1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

1-The Ideal Dancer (2-1)-Comes off a big try at ScD from the 10-hole to cash a 3rd place check. Ships back and has done good work here winning 3 of 4 races. Merriman should be on the point or close to it throughout and could post its 1st win of 2023 (0-5).
7-Camouflage Money (7-1)-Looking for a lively pace and this Schillaci trainee can stalk and roll by near the wire. Fits with this crew and the post makes the price.

Race 12

9-Full Moon Beach (7/5)-Came 2nd to a strong 1.50 winner in last and has beaten better than this at Nfld in the past. Wrenn will need to get a decent early seat and the rail horse has some gate speed. Should handle this crew with a smooth trip.

Race 13

6-Live And Let Di (9/5)-Was bet down to 6/5 and disapointed backers finishing a beaten 2nd. That's the 4 straight 2nd place finish and may have finally met a beatable field.
9-Lloyds Lady (3-1)-Has raced on a sloppy track in the last 2 starts, came 2nd in last and didn't get a great trip. Has the speed to win if Myers can get off the gate in good shape and find some live cover.

Race 14

1-Favorite Aunt (9/5)-Winner of 2 straight is in line for another cozy trip. Wrenn has worked that plan in the last 2 starts and the most recent win was at this level. Won't be anywhere near 10-1 this time in what looks like a chalky finish to a chalky sequence.
2-Gabbys C Note (2-1)-Finished 2nd at ScD against better leaving from the 2nd tier and that was off a sick scratch. Comes back in sequence, Merriman sticks and has won 3 of 4 here. The 2 chalks could be racing 1-2 all the way around.

1.00 Late Pick 4

1,7/9/6,9/1,2
Total Bet=$8

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