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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, August 6, 2023

by Al Cimaglia

August 6, 2023

Northfield Park has a 15-race program with the $1.00 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

3-Elliot Moose (3-1)-Makes the 3rd start for Rhoades, gets post relief and this time comes back in sequence. Could be sitting on a big try.
4-Elver Hanover (4-1)-Was bet and was used a couple of times in the last win. Now steps-up but this field could be had and gets a positive driver change in Davis Jr.
7-The Longest Yard (8-1)-Drew off at Batavia versus Open I company. Ships back and lands in a competitive level and has cashed checks versus better. The post helps the price and has enough gate speed to get a decent seat off the gate.

Race 12

3-One Last Laugh (2-1)-Beat Open Handicap company here back in April and hasn't taken a picture since. Drops and was off 4 weeks between the last 2 starts and now comes back in sequence. Gets a positive driver change in Davis Jr and looks like a player.
4-Honali (12-1)-Ships in from the Meadows and previously was facing better here. Should fit and has hit the board in 5 of 8 at Nfld with 3 pictures. Willing to take a swing at the morning line price.
9-Lancaster Hill (6-1)-Starts from the 2nd tier but when good can pass horses down the lane. The #1 or #2 could leave, if Day can land in decent seat this veteran could get sucked around and use one nice move down the lane to surprise.

Race 13

2-Turbo Hill (9/5)-Takes a big step up after drawing off by 5 lengths in a 150.4 with the trainer between the pipes. The Krieser barn has posted 29% winners over the last 30 days and now Davis Jr is at the controls. Not loving the short price but could double up.
3-Moved Bythe Spirit (2-1)-Chris Page takes over for Wrenn Jr and the Burke trainee steps up a notch. Comes off a sharp win, should be racing near the top of the stack and could battle #2 to the wire.

Race 14

3-Favorite Aunt (7/2)-Here's another Burke entry and this mare has won 2 of 3, and 4 of 11 at Nfld. Could get a pocket ride behind the one below and trip out.
4-Fashion Chocolate (2-1)-Comes off a win versus this kind and showed some guts doing it. Davis Jr sticks, he should be out and rolling to land on the point. Could get the lead without burning much gas and might be tough to catch.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

3,4,7/3,4,9/2,3/3,4
Total Bet=$36

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