First Post:

1:30 pm ET

Extra Juice:

$10 Money-Back Special on all races. Up to $10 back if your win bet finishes 2nd, 3rd when you play with Xpressbet or 1/ST BET

Where We Stand:

Our daily best bets have produced a 9: 2-1-4 record to date. They’ve returned $19.04 on $18 invested on any platform, providing a 5.8% positive ROI.

But those playing with the money-back specials at Xpressbet or 1/ST BET are seeing fantastic results. With second and third-place finishes refunded as part of the everyday Kentucky Downs promo, the plays have returned the same $19.04 for just $8 invested, a 238% positive ROI. To boot, the five money-back performers have averaged nearly 11-1 odds, hopefully juicing exotics and giving us a fighting chance at some bigger scores.

Aug 31: 9th, 1st ($8.10), 3rd (15-1)
Sept 2: 9th, 3rd (6-1), 2nd (24-1)
Sept 3: 3rd (2-1), 1st ($10.94), 3rd (7-1)

Featured Races:

Race 9 – $500,000 One Dreamer Stakes

Betmix Stat of the Day:

Through the first 3 days of racing at Kentucky Downs this season, horses who last raced at Saratoga have a 15% win rate (8 wins) and Ellis Park 11% (15 wins). On a lighter scale, Woodbine alumni are hitting 25% (2 wins), Colonial Downs 10% (2 wins) and Horseshoe Indianapolis 8% (1 win). The notable 0-fers include Del Mar (0-7), Hawthorne (0-9), Laurel (0-8), Belterra (0-10) and Monmouth (0-5).

Jeremy’s Best Bets:

Race 4 (3:06 pm ET)
#7 He’s Got Swagger (8-1 ML)

The Saratoga set has been exceptional in allowance races so far this meet and this one exits a rallying third at the Spa where the runner-up already returned immediately to win comfortably at a short price. Just missed on turf in May to Pletcher well-meant sort who has gone on to stakes performances and this one is bred to relish a return to the green.

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Race 5 (3:41 pm ET)
#6 Candy Corn (6-1 ML)

Plenty of debut excuses in tiny 4-horse field at Delaware Park that was run under a terribly slow pace and kept everyone in the mix. Ducked in badly while passing the infield chute. Runner-up has already returned to run second in a Colonial stakes and the winner is entered Saturday in another Colonial stakes event. Sprint trip here will be pedal down throughout and give a chance to show why he was bet to 1-5 at first asking. Sire Twirling Candy already has a maiden winner at the meet over this same sprint distance and a $1.22 ROI for every $1 bet with offspring here over the past decade.