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Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, September 15, 2023

by Al Cimaglia

September 15, 2023

Grand Circuit stakes headline the 14-race Hoosier Park card along with Indiana Sire Stakes action. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11, and the sequence will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

4-Jada Caroline (8-1)-Comes off a sharp win on 9-7 after being 14 lengths back at the half and rallied strongly. It's doubtful that type of plan will work here, even if the 54.4 back half is repeated. But the Erv Miller trainee looks to be on the improve. Will need its best race ever and the price should be right to justify using on top and underneath in gimmicks.
5-Teelatini (2-1)-This is the obvious choice who very well could make it 6 in a row with a clean trip. There isn't anything to criticize and deserves respect. But the other selections appear to be getting better and could be in the mix at the top of lane.
7-All JK (5/2)-Likes to get on the engine and in the last 2 starts did just that versus Teelatini but couldn't hold the lead. Trace Tetrick set a tepid pace in the last start but to no avail. Not sure what his plan will be tonight. Is worth using but hopefully won't be over bet.
10-Lets Go Endofaera (3-1)-Team De Long pupil has been racing well. Could be rolling down the lane if gets away from the gate in good shape from the 2nd tier. This pilot isn't a slouch, and his task could be made easier if one of the long shots with inside post draws show some gate speed.

Race 12

3-Mars Hill (9/2)-Lost to T C I, the odds-on chalk in the Wellwood, that one got the jump and was driven aggressively like an overwhelming favorite. This is a nice Muscle Hill colt and should be a threat if takes to the Hoosier Park oval. Probably won't be 6 lengths behind the favorite at the half tonight and is worth a swing at the morning line price.
4-T C I (6/5)-This freshman has won 7 of 8 with the lone blemish a 2nd place finish in its first start of the year at M1. The wins have been almost effortless, and many could single here with good reason But that won't be my stance in its Hoosier debut.

Race 13

1-Tellmeitmatters (2-1)-Has been a player in every start except the two when the Welch entry left from post 9. Came off 2 straight wins and then lost last week even after pacing the 2nd half in 54.3. Has a big chance to return to winning ways.
3-Prestigious Prince (5/2)-Has hit the board in 4 of 6 finishing 2nd three times. Lewayne Miller could work a cozy trip and should be there at the wire.

Race 14

5-Round Here Buzz (7/2)-Not sure if 7/2 is a fair price for Buzz, with a 1-26 record. But drops to a better level for success and gets a new set of hands in Scott Zeron. A quick pace could help and that looks like a possibility in a competitive affair.
6-Magnificent Mark (9/2)-Winner of 2 straight has been claimed in the last 3 races. This claim could reap benefits right away, appears to fit well and isn't in a for a tag. Jacob Fox is the owner trainer, and the barn hasn't done much but this might be one of the favorites.
9-Vespa N (10-1)-Should offer a very nice price due to post 9. Finished 3rd in last at 20-1. Will look for a big try, could surprise if gets a good seat off the gate and the pace is hot.
11-Peter Dalt (15-1)-Peter gets the services of Ronnie Wrenn and that should help. Leaving from the 2nd tier isn't ideal but has been facing better and should like the company. If #2 shows some gate speed things might set-up for this long shot.

0.50 Late Pick 4

4,5,7,10/3,4/1,3/5,6,9,11
Total Bet=$32

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