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Al Cimaglia: The Red Mile Championship Day Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, September 17, 2023

by Al Cimaglia

September 17, 2023

This is Kentucky Championship day at The Red Mile. There will be $3.4 million in purses and eight $400,000 Finals, those races are carded 2-9. The $1.00 Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 12% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6 (2:35 Pm EST)

1-Tua Many Captains (7-1)-This is a suck-around candidate with the chalk starting outside. Andy Miller should be sitting close to the top turning for home and could offer a nice price.
2-Dancin Champion (7/2)-Has been right there with #6 in the last 3 races and connected out of the pocket to win. That was a first time David Miller angle that played out, he is back between the pipes and at 7/2 is well worth a swing.
6-Better Is Nice (1-1)-The 4-race win streak was snapped last time. Really did nothing wrong but the big pop was missing down the lane. Came home in 54.2 but that wasn't good enough. My guess is Andy McCarthy wants to be on the lead this week. Will be a short price and it will be interesting as to how the trip works out.

Race 7 (2:54 PM EST)

2-Tactical Approach (5/2)-The Takter trainee appears to be peaking at the right time, has taken pictures in 3 of the last 4 starts. Won the Hambo from post 10 and Zeron does a great job of putting this colt in a position to win. But not sure his strength is trying to wire the field. This another that it will be interesting to see how this trip unfolds and should be a main player.
8-French Wine (5-1)-Won at Lex on 8-27 and then went to Philly and captured the PASS Championship on 9-3. Took a week off and that may help, this post draw doesn't. Offers some value at the program price and might cash the biggest check with a sharp steer.

Race 8 (3:13 PM EST)

5-Confederate (4/5)-Unless something extraordinary happens the Pelling sophomore wins, it is just a question of how fast the colt goes.

Race 9 (3:32 Pm EST)

1-Railee Something (3-1)-Maybe the case could be made the Burke trainee is better on smaller ovals. But has won 4 of 9 races here and should have the best chance of downing the one below with this post draw. Wired the field from post 6 in the PASS Championship at Philly. Could get a cozy pocket ride and look to make the most of an efficient trip.
3-Special Way (8/5)-Ake Svanstedt has options, could beat this group coming off a helmet or by landing on the point and not looking back. My take is this Walner filly leaves and gets on the engine. The Breeders Crown champ has a perfect 6 for 6 record at The Red Mile, is 4 for 4 this year and has only lost twice in 13 starts.

$1.00 Pick 4

1,2,6/2,8/5/1,3
Total Bet=$12


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