by 1/ST BET
September 21, 2023
The Belmont-at-Aqueduct racing week kicks off Thursday with extra intrigue. An $86,515 carryover in the traditional, $1 pick six begins in Race 4 with an approximate post time of 2:39 pm ET.
Here are the 1/ST BET app artificial intelligence top Win Projections for the sequence.
Belmont-at Aqueduct | Race 4 | allowance/optional claiming
The David Jacobson entry here garners a combined 24% Win Projection between #1 Cazadero (9%) and #1A Mid Day Image (15%). That’s slightly best in total over #6 Win FromWithin at 22%. Also consider #7 Call Me Harry (15%) in a race where 5-2 morning line favorite #2 Kuramata under-indexes at just 10%.
Belmont-at Aqueduct | Race 5 | maiden special weight
Only four maidens here reach double-digit Win Projection percentages: #7 Oolong Hai (20%), #12 Millie Jean (13%), #1 Madaket’s Arrow (12%), #3 Material Witness (10%). First-time starters are undervalued in the algorithm for lack of data to process, so #4 You Only Live Once could be an inclusion in the debut for Todd Pletcher and Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Belmont-at Aqueduct | Race 6 | claiming
Absolutely wide-open bunch based on the numbers with 12-1 morning line proposition #7 Burgee a very tepid 15% top Win Projection. The Charlie Baker entry nets just 13% combined, but is next-best, behind #1 My Friends Beer (6%) and #1A Two Thirty Five (7%). #5 Durkin’s Call checks in at 12%, while the others are in a total cluster in single digits. The gutsy move would be to single the top pick and separate from the public in an otherwise spread race.
Belmont-at Aqueduct | Race 7 | allowance/optional claiming
#2 Tide of the Sea offers a very intriguing 23% Win Projection at a 10-1 morning line price. #3 Good Skate and #4 Daunt are 17% each, creating a sizable gap to the others. UK invader and morning line chalk #8 Francesco Clemente has to be respected for Chad Brown. The artificial intelligence won’t give Euros as high marks without speed figure calculations available.
Belmont-at Aqueduct | Race 8 | allowance/optional claiming
The top individual Win Projection in today’s Big A pick six goes to 24% play #5 Perfect Munnings, the 5-2 morning line favorite in this field of 9. Given the field size comparison across the races, this will be an oft-singled horse for those trying to maintain a budget. #4 Mariachi at 16% is the next alternative.
Belmont-at Aqueduct | Race 9 | maiden claiming
#12 Atlanta’s Acuna is a standout 21% Win Projection in this big field, a dozen points higher than a pair of 9% options, #6 Thatsmyboxer and #10 Impassible Prince. While it’s rarely a confident play to single a maiden claimer on turf from the widest draw, the numbers suggest it’s the right play in this spot.
The Ticket
1/1A, 6,7 with 7,12,1,3,4 with 7 with 2,3,4,8 with 5 with 12 = $60 for $1 play