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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, September 30, 2023

by Al Cimaglia

September 30, 2023

Northfield Park has a 15-race card ready to roll. The $1.00 Pick 5 has a $23,892 carryover and an estimated $100,000 pool. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 12% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)

4-Tobins Secret (3-1)-Dropped and popped, now bumps up but this is a competitive level. Recent form has been sharp and should get on the point and could be tough to catch.
7-Waitforever N (3-1)-Beaten chalk drops in search of a win. The Rhoades trainee will be steered by Luke Ebersole instead of Aaron Merriman, that and the post draw should help the price.

Race 12 (10:02 PM EST)

2-Yankee Nudge (2-1)-Delaware shipper should get a close-up seat off the gate. The 3-year-old likes to win and should be a player even though will be facing a couple of mares tonight.
3-Mississippidragon (10-1)-Has been a bridesmaid 5 times this year but has posted only 1 win in 25 starts. Myers takes the lines and maybe a new set of hands will help. Will reach for a price, has been drawing outside and should get a better trip this time.
5-Tell Kadia (12-1)-This is another who should offer a price in what could be a chalky sequence. Has missed a start and will rely on being 100% as the Clegg barn has been clicking.

Race 13 (10:24 PM EST)

2-Kat (8/5)-Drew the 8-hole in the 1st start in town after shipping in from the Meadows and failed to cash a check. Takes a couple of steps down and the Burke trainee should be dialed on high.
5-Lovely Munro (6-1)-Beat the NW6500 by 8.5 lengths at the Meadows as an odds-on choice. Steps up here, but could get off the gate and find a close-up seat. Best to respect at a fair price and has hit the board in 8 of 9 with 4 pictures.

Race 14 (10:46 PM EST)

3-Carmen N The Devil (8/5)-The morning line choice should be driven aggressively and will be a small price. Leaving from post 3 shouldn't hurt, Myers can get the top and try to wire the field
6-Quite The Flirt (9-1)-Looking for a price and landed on this 3-year-old. Ships in from Aces and has Ohio connections so my take is the turns shouldn't be an issue. Doesn't win often but is competitive and with the right trip could make it interesting. Should be a large price and would spice up the gimmicks.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

4,7/2,3,5/2,5/3,6
Total Bet $24

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