by 1/ST BET
December 27, 2023
Parx has a mandatory payout set for today’s Philly Big 5 wager which gets underway in Race 6 and has a carryover of $431,537. The sequence also includes a pair of stakes races.
To assist your handicapping, selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.
You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app.
Parx // Race 6 // maiden claiming
#12 Runandscore (4-1 ML) / 19% Win Projection
#4 Whoosh (10-1 ML) / 18% Win Projection
#5 Crack the Code (8-1 ML) / 13% Win Projection
Comments: The 3-1 morning line favorite #10 Sunset Town merits only a 6% Win Projection, and three clear options are at least seven points above that one in a chance to start the sequence with an upset.
Parx // Race 7 // claiming
#12 Starlite Walker (5-1 ML) / 20% Win Projection
#10 Living Water (6-1 ML) / 12% Win Projection
Comments: Only two of these dozen reach double-digit Win Projections and a solid case to single #12 Starlite Walker based on an eight-point advantage can be made.
Parx // Race 8 // $200,000 Miss Behaviour Stakes
#4 Aoife’s Magic (9-5 ML) / 18% Win Projection
#5 Noisy on the Bay (9-2 ML) / 15% Win Projection
#7 Flamingo Bay (5-1 ML) / 15% Win Projection
Comments: Given the 9-horse field size and 9-5 morning line price on #4 Aoife’s Magic, you can see how this race will be likely the most oft-singled by horseplayers looking to save budget. But the algorithm suggests it’s tight at the top among a trio of contenders, the latter pair likely serious overlay prices in terms of the potential pick five payoff.
Parx // Race 9 // $200,000 Wait For It Stakes
#7 Notice of Action (5-2 ML) / 25% Win Projection
#9 Uncle Heavy (7-2 ML) / 21% Win Projection
Comments: Clear, two-horse standout based on the numbers between the two morning line favorites. They are 12-points or more higher than any other contender in Win Projections. A strong opinion you have in separating these two could mean a chance to play the ticket for twice the price on the same budget, or settle on the two-deep.
Parx // Race 10 // starter allowance
#14 R Goodtime Charlie (8-1 ML) / 23% Win Projection
#11 Boom Boom Kaboom (8-1 ML) / 14% Win Projection
#2 Dee Bo (6-1 ML) / 11% Win Projection
Comments: Strong numbers lean to #14 R Goodtime Charlie and only two others garner double-digit Win Projections. The lukewarm 9-2 morning line favorite #13 Engraged is a numbers-toss at 5% Win Projection.