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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, February 2, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

February 2, 2024

Cal Expo has a 10-race card to start the weekend. The 0.20 Pick 4 starts in Race 7. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7 (8:45 PM PST)

1-Kamara (5-1)-Came a big 2nd half to win last week. The 55.0 back half was impressive, will include and hope the morning line price holds up.
3-Unfiltered (6-1)-The last line was better than it looked, although stayed inside. James Kennedy gets the nod and could roll by down the lane with an efficient trip.
5-Gee Wilikers (2-1)-Usually in the hunt and deserves respect. Should be bet but might not be able to win without having the lead turning for the wire.

Race 8 (9:05 PM PST)

2-South Gate Sally (6-1)-Svendsen's choice over #7 the 6/5 morning line choice, comes off a win that was aided by a sharp drive. Started from post 8 last time and comes right back. Gets post relief and could be in line for another picture.
4-Illseeifican (6/5)-Got roughed up a bit at the start and then couldn't sustain a rally. Seems to be on an every other good race schedule, and this should be go time to cash the top check. This race will likely set-up differently and the 1/2 time won't be 1.01 if the track is fast.

Race 9 (9:25 PM PST)

1-Nebble Hanover (9/2)-Was used going 1st over in the 1st start off the bench in a needed race. Lands in a good spot, should like the company, drawing the rail can help, and should be tighter. Jim Lackey could have this mare forwardly placed and might get sucked around.
3-Halleysbigcomet (3-1)-Jacob's Cutting choice over #4 likes to get the top, and that should be the plan tonight. Has been successful getting on the engine in 2 of the last 6 races. Should have the gate speed to land on the point without using much gas and could be tough to tackle down the lane.

Race 10 (9:45 PM PST)

6-Do It For Mikey (7/2)-Has been trying hard and makes its 4th start on Lasix. Tried to wire the field from post 9 last time and faded down the lane. Gets some post relief so will look for a smoother trip and that could be the winning difference.
7-Karpathian Nights (6-1)-Makes the 4th start off the bench and Cutting gets the call. May need a more aggressive steer and that could happen. There's not a lot of early speed in this affair and getting a close-up seat could lead to a better outcome.

1.00 Pick 4

1,3,5/2,4/1,3/6,7
Total Bet=$24

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