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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, February 10, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

February 10, 2024

Cal Expo will race tonight and not on Super Bowl Sunday. The 0.20 Pick 4 starts in Race 9. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9 (8:25 PM PST)

1-Outlaw Blue By You (5-1)-Raced well in last coming off cover. James Kennedy sticks and will look for a smooth trip at a solid price.
3-Trump Train (7/2)-Hasn't raced since 1-21 and should be a major player if dialed on high. This is a soft spot, and it could be a drop and pop situation.
6-Sneak Peek Hanover (3-1)-Closed with a 57.1 back half but was up against a well-meant winner and finished a beaten 2nd. Luke Plano can provide a sharp steer, the last winner isn't in this field and should be in the hunt at the wire.

Race 10 (8:45 PM PST)

1-Cowboy Dirtyboots (5-1)-Came off cover for an easy win last time and bumps up. Will respect chances to double up with Jacob Cutting steering in a race without a standout.
2-Outlawnothnbutsmrt (5-1)-Put in a no-move mile versus better. Drops to a more comfortable level and Renee Goulet could work a cozy trip. Looks like a suck-around candidate and could roll by down the lane at a nice price.
3-MyartblongstoRock (3-1)-Rallied from the back of the pack and took advantage of a hot pace to take a picture. Steps-up but gets post relief from the 7-hole and could stay good for another. Kennedy has some options and might race near the top of stack this week.

Race 11 (9:05 PM PST)

4-Polar Storm (3-1)-Got an efficient trip from Nick Roland in last and proved the best down the lane. May need to be better this week but it's best to not overlook.
5-Bombay Hanover (5/2)-Should be on the point or in the pocket going into the opening turn. Plano could provide a ground saving trip and may have met a beatable field.

Race 12 (9:25 PM PST)

2-Brooklyn Moonshine (5-1)-This mare is overdue for a picture and a fast track would help. Two of the last three starts have been on a wet surface and hasn't posted a win in 26 tries on an off-track.
4-Witch Hunter (5-1)-Moved up to this TM rating and put in the best effort in a long time. This is another who is probably better when the track is dry. Should offer a square price and will look for the upswing to continue.
5-Biggiessecondshot (5-1)-Was dull in last but raced from the back. Svendsen sticks, comes back in sequence, and will look for a more aggressive steer.

0.20 Pick 4

1,3,6/1,2,3/4,5/2,4,5
Total Bet=$10.80

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