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December 15-Cal Expo Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

December 15, 2017

The Friday night feature at Cal Expo rolls in Race 4, a fillies and mares Open Handicap with a $6,600 purse. The 0.20 Pick 4 sequence with a $30,000 guaranteed pool and a 16% takeout begins in Race 9. The Pick 4 will be my focus.

My Sunday selections at Rosecroft connected for a $17.80 exacta on a $2 wager. The race winner was my top pick, #6-Rock 'N Roll Jet who paid $5.40 to win and my second choice #7-Kiss A Dragon paid $4.20 to place.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9

2-Melodies That Rock-Tough trip in last versus better, fits here and at 12-1 in the ML worth a swing.
3-If You Say So-Kennedy's choice raced well in a quick pace, doesn't win often but this looks like a good spot.
7-Dickies Motel-Plano steers tonight and if pace is brisk, race could set up for this 9-year-old at a square price.

Race 10

2-Coastal Treasure-Tried to come from behind for a change and finished 2nd. Could be sitting on a big try.
3-Windsun T Bird-Roland's choice hung in last and expecting better tonight.
4-Surprisingly Sweet-Had a 56.3 back half to win and looks like a major player at this class.

Race 11

2-Tornado Henry-Twice beaten favorite is looking for 1st CalX win, will likely be bet again and should be in the mix.
3-Cowboys Dirtyboots-Last wasn't best effort, but a return to previous 2 starts could mean a picture tonight.
7-Lucky Ivan-Excuses in last 2 but had a 56.3 back half and could be very dangerous with a good trip.

Race 12

3-Hes A Navajo-Closed well off a slow pace in last and with good cover could sweep by at a square price.
5-Real Roknrol-Program chalk steps up and was Lackey's choice, fits versus this group and best to respect.
6-Crash And Burn-Comes off a dud but if races back to 12/2 victory could take a picture tonight.
7-Lilmessinaround-12-1 price play doesn't win much but Kennedy takes a 2nd swing and this isn't a group of All-Stars.

0.20 Pick 4
Total Bet=$21.60

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia.