by 1/ST BET
February 22, 2024
Turf Paradise’s Thursday card includes a $22,580 pick 5 carryover. The sequence begins in Race 4 (scheduled post time 4:19 pm ET) of the 8-race card. The only stakes race in the nation today, the $60,000 Luke Kruytbosch Stakes, will be the second leg of the sequence.
To assist your handicapping, selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.
You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app.
Turf Paradise // Race 4 // allowance
#1 Found My Ball (5-2 ML) // 25% Win Projection
#4 I Am Freaky Fast (7-2 ML) // 20% Win Projection
Comments: Couple of logical players separate a bit from the four others in this field who are clumped between 12-15%.
Turf Paradise // Race 5 // $60,000 Luke Krutybosch Stakes
#8 Lite Ranchin Kid (7-2 ML) // 28% Win Projection
#1 Sharp Lorenzo (3-1 ML) // 22% Win Projection
Comments: Top pair rate 11 points or more higher than the others and are top two morning-line choices. It’s a formful start on a focused ticket through two legs.
Turf Paradise // Race 6 // starter-optional claiming
#2 Criminal Record (5-1 ML) // 29% Win Projection
Comments: Clear-cut single at a very attractive price in the morning line at 5-1, #2 Criminal Record rates 13 points higher than any of his other six rivals.
Turf Paradise // Race 7 // claiming
#1 Gopher Gold (7-2 ML) // 24% Win Projection
#4 Last Martini (3-1 ML) // 21% Win Projection
#5 Mad Luther (5-1 ML) // 16% Win Projection
#6 East Rand (5-2 ML) // 15% Win Projection
Comments: Field of 7 might require some depth, but smaller budgets and more focused tickets could stick with the top pair only, which would eliminate the morning line favorite among the cuts.
Turf Paradise // Race 8 // maiden-optional claiming
#4 Northern Linchpin (5-1 ML) // 29% Win Projection
Comments: Not only does #4 Northern Linchpin have the biggest spread of 15 points to the competition compared to any other race in the pick 5 today, but his six rivals are nearly inseparable between 10-14% each. This is clearly another single according to the algorithm.