by Jeff Siegel
March 1, 2024
RACE 1
4-LAMPORGHINI
Degree of confidence: B-
• Fresh from clever a win over this course and distance, tough again.
• Rising speed figures with each start; can continue on the upgrade.
• Healthy recent work pattern with three nice breezes since raced.
Others to consider: 2-Two by Four.
RACE 2
1-EIGHT CLAP
Degree of confidence: B
• Missed at even money last time out; tries dirt and a drop in class.
• Pedigree suggests surface switch can help; deserves another shot.
• Lacks gate zip so rail is a concern but may be able to tag the leaders.
Others to consider: none.
RACE 3
4-MUBTADAA
Degree of confidence: B
• Been away two years but the barn has excellent stats with layoff runners.
• Loves the local lawn and will benefit from a favorably soft pace projection.
• Powerful Dettori-Cerin jockey/trainer team; workouts should have him fit.
Others to consider: 2-Johnny Podres.
RACE 4
1-BELLE EPOQUE
Degree of confidence: B
• Graduated over this rack and distance with a strong figure, may repeat.
• Lands the rail and must break sharply to take advantage of the draw.
• Drops from maiden $40,000 to straight $32,000 in a realistic placement.
Others to consider: 2-Bossy Bruin Gal.
RACE 5
8-ASHLEYS SANCASTLE
Degree of confidence: B-
• Likes to settle early and take hold late; needs help up front.
• Retains top rider Juan Hernandez, solid numbers for the level.
• Outside draw no help; must drop over and get covered up early.
Others to consider: 3-Isabel Ludlow
RACE 6
4-JENSCO
Degree of confidence: B+
• Freshened since October, returns with a series of impressive drills.
• Most effective from a mid-pack early spot; projects for a good trip.
• Lightly raced with room for improvement; has speed figures that fit.
Others to consider: 2-Class Clown; 6-Kristi’s Tiger.
RACE 7
2-YARBOROUGH
Degree of confidence: B
• Exits a series of much tougher races; should appreciate the class drop.
• Victimized by a lack of pace in Astra Stakes; still earned a solid figure.
• Shows darkened form but can improve and offers a big price chance.
Others to consider: none.
RACE 8
7-PERFECTIONIST
Degree of confidence: B
• Stretches out after a series of sprints and plummets to the bottom.
• Picks up Flavien Prat in a sign of confidence; very likely to improve.
• Interior sprint fractions indicate he should be on or near the lead.
Others to consider: 4-Mastermind; 10-Mike Operator.
RACE 9
2-CHASINSERENDIPITY
Degree of confidence: B-
• Clever win over this course and distance at this level last time out.
• Properly placed right back by Cerin; switches to go-to rider Dettori.
• Most effective when reserved off the pace and turned loose late.
Others to consider: 4-A Crown for Kitten; 5-Quaria Thunder.