Log In

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, March 2, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

March 2, 2024

Northfield Park has a 15-race card with the $1.00 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)

2-Rockabillycockshut (5/2)-This 5-year-old mare has been in tall cotton. Now drops to the level of its last picture on 1-12. Knows how to win and should be a main player versus this kind.
8-My Red Sea (7/5)-The post draw will make this a challenge but does get class relief and has been successful at this level. Benefits from a positive driver change in Ronnie Wrenn and even from the outside should land in a close-up seat in a field without much early speed.

Race 12 (10:02 PM EST)

4-Lone Wolf (8/5)-This field is full of dull form and horses that don't like to win. The team Smith 4-year-old is certainly not a model of consistency. But did show some improvement last time and if brings a top effort is most likely better than anyone else.

Race 13 (10:24 PM EST)

2-Shes Cruising Home (7/2)-This mare has hit the board in 21 of 46 with 9 pictures and likes to race near the top. Aaron Merriman can work that type of trip and should be in the mix at the wire.
7-Royaltys Dreamer (4-1)-Rewarded connections with the top check against this type on 2-24. That win came from post 7 and took the long way around. Now comes right back at the same level and does good work here taking 12 pictures in 35 starts at Nfld.

Race 14 (10:46 PM EST)

2-Mainline Charmer (7/2)-Team Kash entry had a rough trip in the last start, and faded as has been the case. This will be the 3rd start for the new connections and drops. Should be on the point or no worse than in the 2 hole off the gate. Either could work for a picture.
3-Hill Of A Night (4-1)-Fits with this crew and this is another that could come out on top with the right journey. Tyler Angus can get a cozy trip from this post. Could win on the engine or coming off cover.
7-Racing Glory (2-1)-Beat better than this from the 2-hole but was DQ'd and placed 3rd. Comes back in sequence, and gets a positive driver change in Merriman. Got an efficient 2-hole ride last time and will work harder with this post draw but will still respect chances.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

2,8/4/2,7/2,3,7
Total Bet=$12

Check me out on Twitter!