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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, March 15, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

March 15, 2024

Cal Expo has a 10-race card with the 0.20 Pick 4 starting in Race 7. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7 (8:45 PM PST)

4-Rock's Image (8-1)-Will look for a solid price in the opening leg in what could be a chalky sequence otherwise. This 9-year-old cashed checks facing Open company and now drops to a level where a picture is more likely. Gerry Longo steers his own, should be racing near the top of the stack when the wings fold and can score with an efficient trip.
5-Ragged But Right (5-1)-The 7-year-old has hit the board in 28 of 41 races at CalX and has taken 7 pictures. Also, drops out of the Opens and gets a +++ driver change in Jacob Cutting. Should be a player and will look for an aggressive steer.
6-Dancin Lance (5-1)-It seems like Father Time may have caught up to the 8-year-old, but this is another who gets class relief and a positive driver change in Nick Roland grabbing the lines. Best to respect, and hopefully won't be over bet.
7-Unfiltered (8-1)-Beat this kind, then moved up to face Open company and raced well. Drops back to the level of the last win and could be overlooked. Would love to see at least 8-1, has been competitive at this level and looks like a gimmick use as well.

Race 8 (9:05 PM PST)

2-Pecorino (5/2)-Tried to get on engine last week and faded to finish 2nd. That was a good effort especially considering only 1-42 since the start of 2023. Beaten chalk comes right back at the same TM level and Cutting sticks. This time may not look to cut the mile.
8-Hunky Dory (7/2)-Left from the 1-hole and tried to wire better. Drops and this should be a more comfortable level to seal the deal. Has hit the board in 12 of 15 at CalX and did post 6 wins. Luke Plano should have in striking range turning for the wire.

Race 9 (9:25 PM PST)

4-Chandon (4-1)-Paced the back half in 57.1 to break its maiden and bumps up but still should be heard from. Cutting takes over for Plano who picks the program chalk #3. Has hit the board in 6 of 7 at CalX, will look for an efficient trip and some pace to close into.
5-Anotherv Tuff Woman (5/2)-Even money chalk posted a strong win last time in California Sires Stakes action. The filly faces older, and this will be a test but will look for a strong steer by James Kennedy at a fair price.

Race 10 (9:45 PM PST)

3-Polk Dotlady (9/5)-Drew off by 9-length versus younger and appears to land in a favorable TM level. This is another hodgepodge affair and not loving the short price but needs to be respected.
7-Lickcreek Speedway (7/2)-Was 10-lengths back at the 1st call and Cutting got the mare going in the 2nd half. Came home with a .56 back half and missed by a nose. The same pilot returns for his 2nd drive on the veteran and may not be denied tonight.

0.20 Pick 4

4,5,6,7/2,8/4,5/3,7
Total Bet=$6.40

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