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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, March 16, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

March 16, 2024

Northfield Park has a competitive 15-race card with the $1.00 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)

4-French Shaker (4-1)-Was used hard as soon as the wings folded and throughout much of the mile. Got the top but faltered around the last turn. Still raced well considering, now drops and will look for a different plan. Probably better off not cutting the mile.
6-Bellacache (12-1)-Was pulled up on 2-7 at the Meadows and tonight's pilot Aaron Merriman was between the pipes. Qualified and then put in a no-move mile at Mea, both races were on a sloppy track, and now makes its Nfld debut. Will look for a price and will assume, with the return of Merriman this mare should be ready to roll.
7-Hill Of A Night (9/2)-Was used hard at the start on 2-9 and eventually landed on the point and didn't look back. Thinking another top try could be coming versus this kind and might double up. That won't be easy but does have the gate speed to grab a close-up seat.

Race 12 (10:02 PM EST)

5-Donn's Count (7/5)-Recent form hasn't been great but ships back from MVR and could have his way with this bunch. Merriman should have the pedal down. If the 4-year-old lands on the point without draining much gas it can be picture time.

Race 13 (10:24 PM EST)

1-Royaltys Dreamer (8/5)-Might try to wire the field with this post draw but doesn't have big gate speed. Can win without taking control off the gate and the Kreiser entry has been in sharp form, best to respect.
7-Rockin Requiem (4-1)-Recent from has been dull but gets needed class relief. This mare probably needs to lead every step of the way to win. But does have enough gate speed to get the top and might be able to seal the deal against this kind.

Race 14 (10:46 PM EST)

1-Tonic Treasure (6-1)-Needs an efficient trip to win and this is the time where that could happen. Will take a swing for a trip out win at a good price. Elson Miller may look to get a pocket ride behind the program chalk #2.
2-Indianas Quest GB (6/5)-Meadows shipper seems to have landed in a nice spot to make its Nfld debut. Has good gate speed and Ronnie Wrenn could get the point and be tough to tackle.
3-Modern Q (7/2)-Not exactly sure what to expect but it would be no shock if this mare is overlooked and does seem competitive. Lightly raced 4-year-old could get lucky if Kurt Sugg can be in reach of the leader at the top of the last turn.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

4,6,7/5/1,7/1,2,3
Total Bet=$18

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