by Jeff Siegel
March 16, 2024
RACE 1
2-FORTY NINER GOLD
Degree of confidence: C+
• Good debut speed before weakening when third facing similar.
• Has a right to be fitter and stronger in his second career outing.
• Barn has solid stats with the second time starter angle.
Others to consider: 1-Billbernjoejohnick; 5-Antibes.
RACE 2
1-SWEET MILLIE
Degree of confidence: B
• Returned off a long layoff to crush soft maidens up north.
• Moving way up in class but catches a very modest group.
• Fits on speed figures and has more upside than the others.
Others to consider: none.
RACE 3
4-LORD BULLINGDON
Degree of confidence: B+
• Won the Eddie Logan Stakes smartly over course and distance.
• Freshened since late December, shows solid recent workouts.
• Lack of pace may reduce race to a quarter mile dash for home.
Others to consider: 5-Island Cruiser.
RACE 4
5-QUICK BROWN FOX
Degree of confidence: A
• Debuting Justify filly from the multiple Grade-1 winner Bast.
• Strong, athletic, lengthy filly with plenty of scope and class.
• Has outworked everything including older stakes type runners.
Others to consider: none.
RACE 5
8-CAN’T SLEEP
Degree of confidence: B-
• No lead change but was a stylish debut winner over local lawn.
• Overcame a slow start and a wide trip to score with authority.
• Catches a field with suspect front runners, can tag the leaders.
Others to consider: 3-Quick Kate; 7-The Shushala.
RACE 6
6-MATANZAS CREEK
Degree of confidence: B+
• Exits a series of strong races and lands the cozy outside post.
• Very fast on figures and projects to enjoy a soft stalking trip.
• Beaten choice last pair but ran winning races in both starts.
Others to consider: 4-Hey Brother.
RACE 7
3-AMERICAN GLORY (GB)
Degree of confidence: B
• No lead change but finished well in a solid U.S. debut.
• Barn is terrific (24%) with the second off layoff angle.
• Gets an extra furlong to work with and retains U. Rispoli.
Others to consider: 2-Bartholdy; 5-Indespensible, 6-Let Seamus Go.
RACE 8
1-THE CHOSEN VRON
Degree of confidence: A
• California-bred Horse of the Year faces soft open company.
• Has won 10 of his last 11 starts; was fifth in the BC Sprint.
• Successful in eight of 10 career starts over the local dirt strip.
Others to consider: none.
RACE 9
5-CARIBBEAN KING
Degree of confidence: B+
• Confidence building maiden win over course and distance.
• Pace projects to be easy, should be the controlling speed.
• Earned a career top speed figure in his first off the claim.
Others to consider: none.