by Jeff Siegel
March 23, 2024
RACE 1
7-GHOST COAST
Degree of confidence: C+
• Was a beaten choice facing similar foes in last two outings.
• Has prior form that is good enough; picks up J. Hernandez.
• Outside draw, needs to drop over early and get some cover.
Others to consider: 1-Precision Strike.
RACE 2
5-DISOBEY
Degree of confidence: B-
• Returned from a 27 month layoff to graduate in convincing style.
• Pressed pace, came away when ready, decent chance right back.
• Three nice breezes since raced, has room for further improvement.
Others to consider: 3-Curry.
RACE 3
6-I’M A LUCKY MAN
Degree of confidence: B+
• Drops in class but remains above claim level, a perfect spot.
• Solid on speed figures and hails from the 25% M. Glatt barn.
• Has good early speed but may be most effective if held up.
Others to consider: 4-Derecho Dandy; 8-Constant Conflict.
RACE 4
1-MR. BIG BUCKS
Degree of confidence: B-
• First time routing, lands the good rail, may try gate-to-wire tactics.
• Overmatched in starter allowance and returns to his proper level.
• Game winner over this strip two races back and earned a solid fig.
Others to consider: 3-Handsome Harry; 5-Winning Big.
RACE 5
2-LEYAS CANDY
Degree of confidence: C+
• Good enough but has burned money in six of his last seven races.
• Shows two nice breezes since raced so we know he is healthy.
• Tries another rider switch and projects to enjoy a trouble free trip.
Others to consider: 1-Queen’s Code; 7-McGregor Lake.
RACE 6
4-IN THEORY
Degree of confidence: A
• Blazing preview, then brought $800,00 at the 2023 May Sale
• Baffert-trained filly has breezed like she is loaded with talent.
• Trainer-jockey combo hits at 29%; barn 26% with first timers.
Others to consider: none.
RACE 7
5-PLANETARIO (BRZ)
Degree of confidence: B
• Took the overland route when second in the San Marcos Stakes.
• Meanwhile, Missed the Cut scraped paint and edge clear late.
• They meet again over 12 furlongs; the one with the best trip wins.
Others to consider: 4-Missed the Cut.
RACE 8
5-YELLOW BRICK
Degree of confidence: C+
• Left his previous form behind with a fast, highly rated sprint score.
• Stretches out, can improve again but might prefer one-turn racing.
• Has a steady, grinding style of racing; needs to be prominent early.
Others to consider: 3-Cowboy Mike; 1-Hawker.
RACE 9
6-RUNAMILEINMYSHOES
Degree of confidence: A-
• Two recent sprint prep races; ready to stretch out and win.
• Traffic trouble in recent dash, got clear but was too late.
• Style and pedigree suggest added distance will suit her fine.
Others to consider: none.