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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, March 24, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

March 24, 2024

Cal Expo has an 11-race card with the 0.20 Pick 4 starting in Race 8. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8 (7:55 PM PST)

3-Rockin The Dragon (3-1)-James Kennedy is back for tonight's race and should relish the company. Should be forwardly placed throughout and this looks like a spot to shine.
5-Rockin Sage (6-1)-Will look for a price as Brett Erickson grabs the lines and this mare likes to race on the point or near the top of the stack. Has trouble finishing miles but could get the lead without burning much gas against this field. Will look for an efficient trip. This pilot worked that plan and won with a longshot on Friday night.

Race 9 (8:15 PM PST)

1-Itsonlyrocknroll A (8-1)-Gets a positive driver change in Jim Lackey and he can work a suck-around trip. Could offer a big price and will use from the inside.
3-Aime Hanover (5-1)-Beaten chalk was in the hunt in last but the trip wasn't the best. Jacob Cutting will steer the Goulet entry for the 2nd straight time. This pilot should work a smoother journey and might be able to take a picture at a square price.
6-Go Viral (2-1)-Bumps up a TM level after crushing the last group by 8 lengths. Not sure how much more difficult this will be, and the race probably goes through the Wilkinson trainee.

Race 10 (8:35 PM PST)

1-Prom Queen (10-1)-Came the back half in 56.2 in the 1st start for the Castillo barn. Gets James Kennedy between the pipes this time and the mare probably has more to offer.
2-Senga Nightmare (7/2)-Fits, is competitive and with a sharp steer could cash the top check. Ryan Grundy needs to find some live cover and be close to the leaders turning for the wire.
6-Hunky Dory (5-1)-The Plano barn has been clicking and steps up after a sharp win. Has won 7 of 16 here and can dance with this kind. Came 2nd at this TM level 2 back and is well worth using at the ML price.

Race 11 (8:55 PM PST)

3-Love To Flirt (3-1)-Team Pacheco trainee appears to have an edge on others but needs a smooth trip. Has one move and it needs to be used at the right time. This isn't a race where much value is presented and from the inside the 4-year-old should be in play.
4-Seek And Destroy (2-1)-Similar to the one above, another short price but there are some differences. Rene Goulet is a more seasoned pilot, and this will be 3rd start after requalifying because of breaking issues. Put in flat lines in the last 2 races and should be a main player if minds manners and gets a decent drive.

0.20 Pick 4

3,5/1,3,6/1,2,6/3,4
Total Bet=$7.20

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