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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, March 29, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

March 29, 2024

Cal Expo has a 9-race card with the 0.20 4 Pick starting in Race 6. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6 (8:25 PM PST)

1-Sherwood (4-1)-Has trouble finishing off miles but did battle in last and that effort was better than the line looks. Fits well with this bunch and James Kennedy should work a nice ground saving journey.
3-Gorgeous For Real (8-1)-Seems to find ways to fall short but drops back to the level of its last win which came 2 back. Is worth a long look at the morning line price.
5-Daniel's Son (2-1)-Jacob Cutting's choice drops to a soft spot. Probably won't offer any value but should be tough to down if close to the leaders turning for the wire.

Race 7 (8:45 PM PST)

2-Cenalta Firedragon (4-1)-Wasn't good enough to win but deserves respect with a good try from the 7-hole. Has the speed to win and Luke Plano can work a smooth trip with this post draw.
5-Frewil Dakota Sven (3-1)-Gets post relief and James Kennedy is between the pipes tonight. Needs a trip and well-timed move to take a picture and this pilot could make that happen.
6-Sweet Timber (10-1)-Price shot has been a bridesmaid in the last 2 starts. Has the gate speed to get the top off the gate. If that happens and Jim Lackey gets there without burning much gas good things could happen at a juicy price.

Race 8 (9:05 PMPST)

2-Gee Wilikers (2-1)-Tried to wire the field last week and faded. The same game plan will probably be in Cutting's pocket but may not have to work as hard to get the top. That difference could be enough to cash the top check.
3-Albergo Hanover (5-1)-Finished right behind the one above and also faded down the lane. That was the 1st race at this level after a sick scratch. Will give the benefit of the doubt it needed the start and will be sharper this time.

Race 9 (9:25 PM PST)

1-Some Playa (4-1)-Has raced well against better in 2 of the last 3 races and Plano can get an efficient trip with this post draw. Should be forwardly placed throughout and like the one below is a logical choice at a short price.
2-Go Viral (8/5)-Raced wide well past the 1/4 pole and working hard to get the top didn't help. Stayed inside and couldn't really shake free down the lane. The beaten chalk finished in a DH for 3rd place. Faces easier and has no excuse for not being a main player.

0.20 Pick 4

1,3,5/2,5,6/2,3/1,2
Total Bet =$7.20

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