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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, April 7, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

April 7, 2024

Cal Expo has a 13-race card with the 0.20 Pick 4 starting in Race 10. The sequence has a $25,000 Guaranteed Pool with a low a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

4-Daytona Dreamin (12-1)-Draws inside of the main players and Nick Roland has been taking pictures lately. Will swing for a price in a race without a standout.
5-Louis (9/2)-Team Cutting entry is consistent versus this kind and has hit the board in all 8 starts this year with 2 pictures. Looks like a player and this isn't the most talented field.
6-Help Page (4-1)-Winner of 4 straight and 5 of 13 at CalX should be in the hunt. Using because my feeling is this 4-year-old could go off at a higher price than the program odds.
7-Jack Rabbit Slims (2-1)-The morning line choice beat some of these on March 17 and has been off since. Will likely be bet and could win again if leaves and gets the top without much stain. That was the case last time but doesn't have great gate speed.

Race 11

3-Outlawburntpopcorn (4-1)-Trainer Jesse Pacheco will steer his own and should be there at the wire if he can work an efficient trip. Has not won this year (0-10) but drops to soft level and should fit well with this crew.
4-Brooklyn Moonshine (7/2)-Team Plano entry left when dropped to this TM level in last and had no pop in the last 1/2 mile. Was bet down to 2/5, should be a better price tonight and has a chance to make amends.
5-DT Per Attack (2-1)-Drops to a competitive level and is Cutting's choice over #2. This is another who is winless in '24 but did race better in last from post 7. Not loving the short price but is a player with the right trip and is useable.

Race 12

1-Dougsmonkeybusiness (5/2)-Doug got jammed up early on due to a breaker and it may have cost him a better finish, but he wasn't going to win. This is mostly a new crew this week and Cutting should have in play. Needs a ground saving trip to win and cold get one this time.
2-Maui (3-1)-Has the speed to win and raced well last time to DH for 2nd after coming off a sick scratch. Luke Plano steers tonight and he has done well driving the 6-year-old and this might be the time for a picture. Does bump up but draws inside and that should help.
5-Officer Jim (2-1)-Comes out of the same race as #1 and James Kennedy could have the pedal down and get the point. Should be in the mix and hopefully won't be over bet.

Race 13

4-Bettor's Promise (6-1)-Going with a veteran who won his last outing and comes right back. Got a pocket ride at 12-1 to win and pulled away down the lane. The 13-year-old has one nice move and James Kennedy should keep in striking range.
6-Some Playa (5/2)-Dropped to this level in last and wasn't bet and raced like it. But that was on an off-track and its record on a wet surface is 2 wins in 40 tries. Will give another chance and should be in the thick of it at the wire with a big effort.

0.20 Pick 4

4,5,6,7/3,4,5/1,2,5/4,6
Total Bet=$14.40

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