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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, April 12, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

April 12, 2024

Cal Expo begins the weekend with a 10-race card. The 0.20 Pick 4 has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout. It starts in Race 7 and will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7 (8:45 PM PST)

2-Sin Machqueen (9/2)-Drops and will look for a different trip this time. Doesn't need to lead every step of the way to win and Jacob Cutting could work a successful stalking trip.
7-Jeremys Alibi (3-1)-Has been racing from the back and will look for Nick Roland to have in play off the gate. The inside post draw might be enough for a suck-around trip and a rare win.
8-Myartblongstorock (12-1)-Drops and at the morning line price is worth using. Has been competitive versus this kind and with a sharp steer could surprise.
9-Cut A Rug (6-1)-Rallied to win with a 56.1 back half and has won 2 of the last 3. It won't be easy to double up from the
9-hole but should offer a solid price and it's risky to leave out.

Race 8 (9:05 PM PST)

3-Chief Saratoga (7/2)-The Roland trainee is 1-41 since the start of 2023 and is the 7/2 second choice. Obviously, this isn't a group of all-stars and did show some life last time. Is in a spot to get an efficient trip and could use one move late in the mile to win.
6-Fox Valley Sidecar (9/2)-Got the top and faded last week. Cutting could look to leave again and get on the point. Needs to steal a quarter and if so, it could be picture time.
7-Ak Up N Attem (6-1)-Only 1-30 here and James Kennedy needs to provide a close-up stalking trip. Could find an honest pace to close into and the short field won't hurt chances.

Race 9 (9:25 PM PST)

1-South Gate Sally (5-1)-Should be racing at the top of the stack and has a chance for an upset with a well-timed move down the lane.
2-Moonlit Night (2-1)-Finished a beaten 2nd in a quick mile but did keep coming. The 3-year-old has some game and should get a smooth trip and be in the hunt at the wire.

Race 10 (9:45 PM PST)

2-Rockin The Dragon (5/2)-Raced well versus this kind 2 back. Expecting the same with another inside post draw and Kennedy could get the top and not look back.
4-Princessofthedawn (5-1)-Knows how to win and has taken 8 pictures in 22 races at CalX. Makes the 3rd start off the bench and could be overlooked. Looking for a better price than the program odds and should be forwardly placed off the gate.

0.20 Pick 4

2,7,8,9/3,6,7/1,2/2,4
Total Bet=$9.60

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