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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, April 14, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

April 14, 2024

Cal Expo has a 13-race card. The 0.20 Pick 4 starts in Race 10, it has a $25,000 guaranteed pool. The sequence has a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10 (7:50 PM PST)

7-Ain't She Special (5/2)-Finished 2nd in last after setting a new lifetime mark and now comes back in sequence. Probably has the best gate speed. Could get the jump on the choice #8, and that could be a winning edge.
8-Blinded By Delight (2-1)-Lightly raced Graham trainee makes the most of it chances, has won 9 of 11 since the beginning of 2023. Also does really well at CalX taking pictures in 5 of 7 races and should be a main player.

Race 11 (8:10 PM PST)

3-Dancin Lance (2-1)-Comes off a DH winner with the one below. Looked to take charge early on last time. That plan did work for the most part and Brett Erickson could look to follow the same script.
4-Hoo Nien A (5-1)-Benefited from a quick pace in last and was able to rally down the lane. Jerry Longo has options for a picture, could take a pocket ride or work a close-up stalking trip.

Race 12 (8:30 PM PST)

1-Go With Flow (4-1)-New connections cashed the top check at first asking. Steps up but will be tough to beat if comes with another 55.1 back half. Jacob Cutting should have the mare in striking range at the top of the stretch.
2-What Cheer (2-1)-The last 2 races were encouraging and should be a player if can avoid a slow start off the gate. Returns versus the same kind, and the beaten chalk could make amends tonight.

Race 13 (8:50 PM PST)

3-Rockin Sage (3-1)-It seems pilot Vod Farris has learned the best chance for a picture with this mare is to stay inside. Should get another efficient trip with this post draw and will look to use one move to roll by down the lane.
4-Brookklyn Wind Up (6-1)-Even effort and not the best of trips last time. Comes back in sequence this time and fits. Will look for a smoother journey and rely on Nick Roland to have in play turning for the wire.
6-Outlawburntpopcorn (7/2)-Wouldn't want to take a small price but this mare has been in the hunt. Has turned camera shy this year (0-11). But should be there at the wire with a sharp drive from Jessie Pacheco.

0.20 Pick 4

7,8/3,4/1,2/3,4,6
Total Bet=$4.80

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