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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, April 20, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

April 20, 2024

Northfield Park has a 15-race card, and the $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM PST)

3-Violetta Blue Chip (3/2)-Winner of 2 straight deserves top billing but 3/2 could be too much respect. Will use because may not have seen her best race. Has good tactical speed and Aaron Merriman can put in play early on.
5-Minnaea (9/2)-This filly is still looking to take a picture (0-8) but showed some life last time. Billy Davis Jr had her in gear off a covered trip. Looking for a similar journey here.

Race 12 (10:02 PM PST)

1-Velociraptor (2-1)-Started from the 2nd tier in its Nfld debut and raced in the slop. This is 2nd time Lasix and willing to use from the rail but may have faded if started outside. With this post draw Chris Lems should be in the hunt, hopefully not at a very short price.
4-Jesses Doll (3-1)-Got caught and came 2nd by a nose in last. Luke Ebersole sticks and should get a cozy trip. Can be a threat and doesn't need to lead every step of the way to take a picture.

Race 13 (10:24 PM PST)

3-Girl Scout Cookie (5-1)-Has won at this level on 2-10 and looks like a contender after getting needed post relief. Could get on the point or come off cover to down this crew.
4-Saulsbrook Mabel (5-1)-Greg Grismore should get a good early seat and could offer a square price. Going to fade #2 the morning line 7/5 chalk and look for a solid price. Can surprise if racing with the leaders turning for the wire.
7-Isette Hanover (25-1)-This price shot is competitive and with the right trip could be heard from. Is worth a swing at this price and will hope Tyer Angus can provide a sharp steer.

Race 14 (10:46 PM PST)

1-Bonita Joe (2-1)-Raced better in last with an inside post draw and would expect the same tonight. The short price is tough to swallow but is hard to leave off the ticket.
5-JB'S Star Dancer (6-1)-This mare could win off the right trip, but not sure Angus Lake can follow that plan. Could surprise at a solid price if finds a live cover flow.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

3,5/1,4/3,4,7/1,5
Total Bet=$24

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