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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, May 5, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

May 5, 2024

Northfield Park has a 15-race card and the $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)

1-One Last Laugh (5-1)-Outraced his odds last time versus this kind from the rail. Hunter Meyers needs to put this 7-year-old in a position to win and shouldn't be out of place tonight.
4-Louis The Horse N (5-1)-Aaron Merriman worked a smooth trip last week and won by open lengths. Steps-up but does good work at Nfld (6-3-2-0) and should offer a square price.
5-Mull Of Kintyre (7/2)-Has been in the hunt at this level and Justin Irvine can get the lead off the gate. Probably has the best gate speed and that tactical advantage could be the winning difference.

Race 12 (10:02 PM EST)

1-Lake Charles (3-1)-Tries hard and could beat this scattered crew but will need some hot fractions. Pretty much everyone moves up and it is not an easy race to read. This veteran can roll late and Irvine could have in play.
2-Cowboy Cool (4-1)-The Burke-Wrenn combo is tough to ignore as they click for 33% winners. Hard to leave off the ticket and should be in the hunt but doesn't make a habit of winning here (12-1-2-3).
7-Nvrfearlloydishere (5-1)-Bumps up after taking advantage of a pocket ride to take a picture. Beat Open company at Nfld in March and could be heard from with the right trip. Looking for a price and may be overlooked.

Race 13 (10:24 PM EST)

2-Ego Trippin (2-1)-Left to get a close up seat last time and took the lead early on. But was caught by the the morning line chalk #1 who came off cover to win its 2nd straight. Will look for a different outcome this time as Aaron Merriman grabs the lines.
5-Rock The Hill (5/2)-Will look to fade #1 the 9/5 chalk and get more value. Irvine should have the pedal down and has the gate speed to get the top or the pocket. The Roegner-Irvine combo has clicked for 32% winners over the last 30 days.

Race 14 (10:46 PM EST)

1-Sawyer's Desire (9/5)-Makes the 2nd start off the bench and could be ready to roll with the inside draw. The short price isn't easy to take. But this veteran is like most in the field, a win at this level hasn't happened for a while. But back class could show tonight.
5-White Hair Rocks (7/2)-Beat this kind from the rail 2 back. Has enough gate speed to get a close-up seat and could be a clean trip away from another picture.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

1,4,5/1,2,7/2,5/1,5
Total Bet=$36

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