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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, May 26, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

May 26, 2024

Northfield Park has a 15-race card with the $1.00 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)

1-Fly Charlie Fly (7/2)-Sat in the pocket and then rolled by in a 152.4 mile last week. Started from the rail that night and could get the same type of trip here. Does step-up but has been a winner against this kind back on 4-1 and could get a pocket ride behind the program choice.
5-Liteningonthebeach (8/5)-Comes off a big try at the Mea leaving from post 8 versus similar. Has won 4 of 6 here and that includes cashing the top check facing Open company. Aaron Merriman gets the call, and he has won 26% of his drives for the Bercury stable. Could add to that total at a small price.

Race 12 (10:02 PM EST)

2-Club Scene (4-1)-Just missed in last but didn't get a smooth trip, was caught 3 wide on the backside on the last turn. Hunter Myers, the usual pilot takes over for Ronnie Wrenn and that could help in this case.
6-American Classic (7/2)-The Meadows shipper comes off 2 wins and now jumps up in class and makes its Nfld debut. Normally this wouldn't be a choice set-up. But Ron Burke usually puts them in where they can win. Best to respect, this 5-year-old did win 9 of 33 starts last year.
9-Martins Millions (2-1)-Scioto shipper drew off by almost 4 lengths in last while facing similar. Has 1 picture in 5 starts here and should be a player but needs to get off the gate in a good seat. Merriman steers, and he could put the 4-year-old in striking range by the top of the last turn.

Race 13 (10:24 PM EST)

1-Chief Mate (9-1)-Meadows shipper comes off a win but lands here in deeper water. Pilot Sam Widger makes a rare Nfld appearance. Willing to take a swing for a price, anticipating the veteran lands in the pocket behind #2 and posts a trip out win.
2-Grantmeawish (3-1)-Merriman has big gate speed at his disposal. His best chance to take a picture is probably by landing on the point and controlling the mile. Figures to be in the mix with an inside post draw but needs to do a better job of finishing.
6-Mull Of Kintyre (7/2)-This is a consistent check casher when facing Open company. Billy Davis Jr also has gate speed to use but this veteran can down this crew without leading every step of the way.

Race 14 (10:46 PM EST)

3-Louie The Horse N (6-1)-This is one level above where Louie shines but usually is in the mix with an inside post draw. The Bendis barn has been clicking at a 29% win rate the past 30 days. Widger gets an inside draw, could get sucked around and be a player at a solid price.
6-Nvrpoptdaplugs (7/2)Moves up in class after beating up on the NW6500L4 and can dance with this kind. Merriman can make a 2nd quarter move and look to take control when the wings fold. This will be the 2nd straight start at Nfld, comes back in sequence, and looks like a definite double up possibility.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

1,5/2,6,9/1,2,6/3,6
Total Bet=$36

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