by Al Cimaglia
May 31, 2024
The Meadowlands has a 14-race card featuring New Jersey Sires Stakes Finals. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 10. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.
Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
Race 10 10:05 PM EST)
7-Karl (1/5)-Talented 2-year-old has won its first 2 starts of the year by over 10-lengths combined and is 11 of 12 lifetime. Has the looks of a generational trotter and it would take a really bumpy trip to not be 12 for 13 lifetime after this race is over.
Race 11 (10:25 PM EST)
1-Toto Hanover (2-1)-Blasted out from post 7 in last and made every call a winning one. Used a 26.2 opening quarter to get the lead from post 7 and tonight won't need to work so hard to take control. The race should go through Scott Zeron and this 5-year-old who has won 3 of 4 at M1.
5-Apertif (4-1)-Hasn't been able to solve Toto Hanover in 2 tries this year, last time had the 9-hole. With this post draw Dexter Dunn has enough gate speed to land in the pocket. If that trip happens, should have the best chance of upsetting the chalk with a trip-out win.
Race 12 (10:45 PM EST)
2-Marg In Charge (10-1)-Not seeing a standout in this affair so will look for some solid prices. Marg needs an efficient trip to take a picture and Dunn could provide one with this post draw. That same plan worked to perfection on 11-11 with Dunn at the controls from this same post and paid a healthy mutuel.
7-Walcango (9/2)-My take is the price could be better than the morning line following breaking stride in the last 2 starts. Did get bet down to 8/5 versus this kind 2 back and may have met a beatable field. Has only 1 win in 14 races at the Big M but did finish 2nd in six starts, and the winners in the last 10 races are not in this field.
Race 13 (11:05 PM EST)
6-Bobcat Bay (3-1)-Drops again looking for an elusive win. Left hard from the 9-hole and got a good early seat but the trip took its toll. Trainer Jeff Smith's barn has been clicking posting 30% winners over the last 30 days. Should get a good early seat and with a well-timed move could come off cover to win.
7-Straight Talk (5/2)-Came off the bench, last start was on 11-18, was handled conservatively and raced from the back. Paced a 54.1 back half after being 11-lengths back at the 1/2 pole. Should be tighter and better tonight.
$4.00 Pick 4
7/1,5/2,7/6,7
Total Bet=$32
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