by Al Cimaglia
June 23, 2024
Northfield Park begins the week with a 15-race card. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.
Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)
2-Nashing Hill (9/5)-The 5-year-old ships in from Scioto, doesn't make many starts at Nfld and hasn't taken a picture there
(3-0-0-0). On paper should be the winner but doesn't have big gate speed and it might be best to not try to wire the field. Using but can't completely trust.
6-Back In My Day (5-1)-The Roegner trainee drops, but has won and cashed checks versus Open company at Nfld. Will respect chances as the pace could be lively. Needs a sharp steer, if so, can grind its way around and be in position to tackle the leader down the lane.
Race 12 (10:02 PM EST)
1-Big Bad Caviar (5/2)-Has had limited success facing Open Handicap company and now drops. Will probably look to land on the point and not look back. That trip and outcome could happen but not might not be automatic at this class.
3-Son Of Sona (12-1)-Similar to #1, drops from facing Open Handicap competition but this veteran shows a recent win at that level. Best to respect, Keith Kash could work a cozy trip with this post draw and should be a healthy price.
4-Toes In The Water (9/2)-Davis Jr will do the steering, same as last time when she broke at the start. That's a positive in my view and also bumps up here. Stepping up after breaking stride and finishing last is not common. But instead of being suspicious, my play will be to use, as Tye Loy the conditioner, also owns a chunk.
Race 13 (10:24 PM EST)
3-Risenshine Seaside (7/2)-This Burke 5-year-old hasn't had the same success as last year but should be a major player tonight. Ronnie Wrenn steers, he is batting 34% winners on Burke entries and should be forwardly placed off the gate.
5-Liteningonthebeach (5/2)-This trainer driver combo (Bercury-Merriman) is combining for 27% winners and the 4-year-old ships in from the Meadows. Should be player with this post draw and may not have to work too hard to land on the point. This was Merriman's choice over #2 and needs to conserve enough gas early on to be there at the wire.
Race 14 (10:46 PM EST)
1-Incredible Man (1/1)-Finished 2nd at 6/5 and drops again in search of a win. Merriman gets the call and may have met a beatable field. Hard to leave off the ticket and will use despite a tiny price.
2-The Downtown Bus (7-1)-East coast invader had a needed start on 6-14 and put in a no-move mile from the 8-hole. Will take a swing the 9-year-old is here for a purpose and will look for an improved effort in the 2nd start in town. Should have enough gate speed for Kurt Sugg to work a cozy trip.
9-Record Machine (10-1)-This veteran has hit the board in 48% of its Nfld races and has taken 14 pictures. Drops and Chris Lems could get off the gate in good shape as the inside pair should be leaving. Could pop at a price if lands a close-up seat.
$1.00 Late Pick
2,6/1,3,4/3,5/1,2,9
Total Bet=$36
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