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Frank Carulli: Prairie Meadows All-Stakes Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, July 5, 2024

by Frank Carulli

July 3, 2024

Prairie Meadows will host its annual Festival of Racing this weekend, awarding more than $1 million in purses. The fireworks will begin Friday, July 5, with four $100,000 stakes on the 10-race card. Here’s a look at the All-Stakes Pick 4 that costs only 50 cents to play:


PrM 6th race (9:10 p.m. EST) -- NECKER ISLAND, the lone millionaire in the $100,000 Iowa Sprint Stakes, trailed most of the way in the $200,000 St. Matthews Overnight Stakes at Churchill Downs to begin his 7-year-old season. But he’s worth a second look after facing the likes of multiple Grade 2 winner Hoist the Flag ($1.4 million), multiple Grade 3-winning speedball Skelly (10-16, $1.6 million) and Tejano Twist (9-34, $1.4 million) last year. BOURBON HEIST is 6/2-1-2 sprinting at various venues in the last nine months. The races that he didn’t win produced two next-out stakes winners and three allowance/optional claiming winners who all posted 94-plus Beyer speed figures. PEACE DOG emerged from a backstretch duel while 4-wide and drew away impressively from a nondescript field of allowance runners for his new trainer. He gets the class test tonight, but at least the price will be right to use him in the lead-off leg.


PrM 7th race (9:39 p.m. EST) -- OLGA ISABEL ran unchallenged on the lead en route to her first stakes victory in the $50,000 Prairie Rose. She faces more pressure in tonight’s $100,000 Saylorville but should overcome it as a solo play in the Pick 4. She set faster fractions than the $50,000 Ed Skinner Stakes for the boys on the same night and finished only 1/5 of a second slower in her seasonal debut.


PrM 8th race (10:08 p.m. EST) -- Eight entrants in the $100,000 Prairie Golden Lassie arrive off debut Maiden Special Weight victories, spanning five tracks. ELEGANT JUSTICE caught the eye with a stretch burst on the lead, albeit against three state-bred rivals at Horseshoe Indianapolis. SHEZAFUNKYDRUMMER lived up to the 2-to-5 hype in field of all first-time starters at Hawthorne, sprinting clear and never asked for run in a 4-1/2F romp. Interesting to note, winning jockey David Cohen will be aboard her stablemate, RICH CITY GIRL, who debuts with a flashy work tab for trainer Larry Rivelli. SPANKERBOOM seized the moment when the even-money favorite was in ‘cramped quarters’ on the turn and emerged from a 6-way battle for the lead that she held safe in the final sixteenth.


PrM 9th race (10:37 p.m. EST) -- Proven and improving route runners abound in the $100,000 Iowa Distaff at 1-1/16 miles, prompting an ‘ALL’ punch in the Pick 4. MAGICAL LUTE won an allowance at Churchill Downs two starts ago and sustained a 3-wide rally to finish third behind graded stakes-placed Opus Forty Two in the $50,000 Wayward Lass at Tampa Bay Downs to start the year. PIGALLE shook a duel with the second favorite and won off a six-month layoff in a six-figure allowance at Churchill Downs. LACIE BE GOOD’s five-race winning streak ended in a $100,000 stakes on Preakness weekend at Pimlico. TAKE ME SERIOUS is a two-time stakes winner against Oklahoma breds at Will Rodgers Downs. FLAT OUT STORMIN rallied to win the Hawkeyes Handicap at Prairie Meadows last fall.

Suggested 50-Cent Ticket
PrM 6th Race: 2, 5, 6
PrM 7th Race: 6
PrM 8th Race: 1, 2, 3, 9
PrM 9th Race: ALL


Cost for 50-cent ticket: $42