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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, July 14, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

July 14, 2024

Northfield Park begins the week with a 16-race card. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout. The sequence starts in Race 11, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)

5-Greatest Ending (8/5)-Does have big gate speed and could get the top when the wings fold or duck and make a quarter move. Either way AMac could control the mile early enough to steal a quarter. If that happens the 5-year-old should be difficult to tackle.
7-Unlikeanyother (9-1)-Shipped in from Scioto and had an even effort starting from post 9. Will look for Billy Davis Jr. to get a decent early seat, then grind it out and roll by down the lane at a nice price.

Race 12 (10:02 PM EST)

1-Mo Bay (3-1)-Found Open company too tough and now drops to a level where the 5-year-old can make some noise. Doesn't have great gate speed but Hunter Myers should be racing near the top and be in striking range turning for the wire.
4-Gabbys Bit Coin (5/2)-Posted a win as an odds choice at ScD. Has only raced 5 times this year and was idle throughout 2023. Posted 2 wins in 5 races at Nfld winning over $101,000 on that oval. Faces better but could be up to the challenge after taking a picture on 7-4.
7-Stoney Ridgetop (12-1)-Willing to take a swing as form is sharp and has very good gate speed. If Ken Holiday gets the top without burning much gas the 5-year-old could pop at long odds. Has done well at Nfld (12-3-5-2).

Race 13 (10:24 PM EST)

2-Camouflage Money (6-1)-Drops to a more competitive level and should have a nice seat off the gate. Could be in the hunt with a sharp steer from Chris Lems.
3-Joelsyy Hanover (5-1)-On and off sort can be a factor with the right set-up and Kurt Sugg could work a cozy trip. Has one good move to use and might pop at a square price.
5-Roll With Time (4-1)-Posted a win 2 back at Nfld and then went to the Meadows, faced better, and finished 2nd. Should fit with this group but needs a top effort to notch a win. The Presto-Merriman combo has posted 25% winners. Will respect the connections and hope the morning line price holds up.

Race 14 (10:46 PM EST)

5-Herecomescharlie B (6-1)-Comes off a sharp win leaving from post 7 and making 2-moves. Billy Davis JR is in the bike again and now faces Open company. Has been close to winning at this level and has good gate speed to be in position to seal the deal tonight.
9-Joggingtothebank (3-1)-The rail horse has some gate speed and could be a player if Merriman can get a close-up seat into the opening turn. This veteran knows how to win and has the pilot to put him into position for that to happen.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

5,7/1,4,7/2,3,5/5,9
Total Bet=$36

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