Log In

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, August 4, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

August 4, 2024

Northfield Park has a 15-race card with the $1.00 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)

1-Big Boss Hill (9/2)-Makes the 2nd start since shipping in from Scioto and should be dialed on high. Isn't out of place with this crew and Austin Hanner can work an efficient trip with this post draw.
2-Elliott Moose (5/2)-Drew off by over 4 lengths against cheaper and then faced similar as the chalk and came with a dull effort. Returns to its favorite track and Aaron Merriman sticks so will look for much better.
3-I'm A Skoldier (5-1)-This is the 2nd start off a sick scratch and drops to a more competitive level. Chris Lems has gate speed to use, and this looks like a pocket trip candidate.

Race 12 (10:02 PM EST)

5-Joggingtothebank (5/2)-Tried to wire this kind last time and just missed. This veteran likes to win. So does the Burkholder barn when teamed with Merriman as they post 23% winners.
7-Cornstar (5-1)-This mare has consistently hit the board this year (14-4-4-4) and has won 5 of 13 starts at Nfld. Lems will be coming off cover and can catch the leaders especially since there should be a lively pace.

Race 13 (10:24 PM EST)

2-Slipmeamiki (5/2)-This might be a 2 horse battle. The Ed Miller trainee comes off a big try from post 8 to just miss. Should get a less taxing trip to get a close-up seat and be there at the wire.
3-Kneedeep N Custard (2-1)-Went off at 2/5 and wired easier, now also bumps up. Merriman should get the top, although #3 Cool Man Dude can challenge. Has the post edge over others with gate speed and that could be the winning difference. The other advantage the Bendis entry has is having the best pilot in the field.

Race 14 (10:46 PM EST)

1-The Golden Jet (5/2)-Bumps up after winning from the 9-hole. Fits and has beaten better here this summer. This race will go through the 4-year-old.
5-Melodies Major (5-1)-Drops after being in a race that went in 151.4. Will toss the last start, fits better here and Hunter Myers could have the pedal down and land in the pocket. Should offer a square price and a top try puts the veteran in the hunt.
9-Kashed Up A (4-1)-Makes its Nfld debut after trying Lasix and winning at the Meadows. Merriman should get away in decent shape as the rail horse will get off the gate quickly. This is a bigger test but should offer a fair price and best to not overlook.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

1,2,3/5,7/2,3/1,5,9
Total Bet=$36

Check me out on Twitter!