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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park All Stakes Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, August 10, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

August 10, 2024

Northfield Park has a loaded 15-race card. The headliner goes in Race 11, the $300,000 Carl Milstein Memorial. The All Stakes $1.00 Pick 4 starts in Race 8. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8 (8:34 PM EST)

2-It's Academic (3/5)-The Burke trainee has lost a lot off his fastball but has faced an entirely different level of competition. Has hit the board in 6 of 8 at Nfld, took 4 pictures and set a track mark of 151.4 in 2023. Drawing the 2-hole cinches the 3/5 morning line, should win but can't completely trust.
6-Refined (4-1)-Won't be the only one leaving to get the pocket behind the morning line choice. But if Dan Noble times the gate right and this mare brings her "A" game she will get a seat near the top of the stack. Then that puts her in play to upset the choice at a square price.

Race 9 (8:56 PM EST)-

2-Racing Rampage (3-1)-The 4-year-old has been hotter than hot at Yonkers since joining the Travis Alexander barn. Can win on the point or coming off cover and in my view is the one to beat. Has had some past success at Nfld hitting the board in 3 of 4 with 2 pictures. Set a Nfld mark as a 2-year-old of 151.2 and now is at the top of its game. The race probably goes through the 2nd program chalk and it's doubtful the 3-1 morning line holds up.
9-Nashing Hill (8-1)-Will look to the Steve Carter pupil with Brett Miller steering to have a shot at downing the 2 programs chalks (5-2). Offers some value and could get a decent early seat as #2 and Aaron Merriman on #1 could leave hard. The 5-year-old can win off a stalking trip if the fractions are hot and the Carter-Miller combo posts 20% winners.

Race 10 (9:18 PM EST)

3-Odds On Platinum (5/2)-The Ian Moore pupil has been in sharp form and won on the 5/8's at RidC back on 6-23. Looks like the main player but does make its Nfld debut. My take is the connections don't roll into town from Ontario if they were concerned about the turns.
6-Wasted On You (4-1)-This is a nice filly who is in good from and has 1 second place finish in 2 starts at Nfld. Will use as an upset play over the 8-Seaside Diva who tries Lasix for the 1st time. Should be blasting out hard, could get the top and not look back.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)

1-Timeisonmyside (6-1)-Thestable filly outraced his odds in both the Adios Elimination and in the Final. The Captain Crunch 3-year-old should be good with the Northfield surface in his 1st start there and has enough gate speed to be forwardly placed. Anthony MacDonald will be aggressive, could take charge early and a pocket ride could also work well.
2-Wish You Well (5/2)-Comes off a hard charging 2nd place finish in the Adios and didn't get the best of trips. David Miller is back between the pipes on the Nifty Norman entry. Probably doesn't get stuck inside on the rail down the lane versus a well-rated leader this time.
7-Sweet Beach Life (8-1)-The Messenger winner hasn't clicked in either Adios race, both trips didn't work. But with a sharp steer Matt Kakaley can catch the speed as this race could set-up with some hot fractions. Does need things to fall into place but has better to offer than has shown recently. Relying on the Alexander pupil taking to the oval and should offer a big price.

$1.00 Pick 4

2,6/2,9/3,6/1,2,7
Total Bet=$24

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