by Al Cimaglia
August 18, 2024
The Red Mile has a 17-race card with the first post at 5:05 PM EST. The $1.00 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 12% takeout, and it will be my focus.
The Cash Back Promo applies to Races 11 & 16 tonight at The Red Mile Race.
Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
Race 6 (6:40 PM EST)
2-Momento Mori (5-1)-Easily got the pocket off the gate last time, but the leader was a longshot who stopped at the top of the last turn. Scott Zeron had to maneuver to get through, by that time the 4/5 chalk was gone and did hold on. Big Shoes was the best last time but at this price will give the Eric Patalan pupil another swing.
5-Big Shoes (2-1)-Took control on the last turn and was strong down the lane. Could make it 3 straight but the Burke trainee will be a small price, and this might not be as easy.
7-Forward Path (12-1)-This price shot left from post 5 in last, broke 6th off the gate and raced wide much of the mile. Did keep coming down the lane to finish 3rd. This will be the 2nd race since breaking stride on 7-28, also the 2nd time for trotting hopples. Could be in the hunt at the wire if minds manners and it would be no shock if Tim Tetrick were more aggressive today.
Race 7 (6:59 PM EST)
3-Capytreach (4-1)-Got an efficient trip and won last time. It was an impressive effort, went off at 18-1 and won like an odds-on choice. Paced the back half in sub .54 and did it on her own. Not sure the 4-1 holds up but if so, would offer value.
5-Defining Moment (2-1)-Didn't get the best of trips last time. Went off at 6/5 and Dave Miller couldn't get an early seat and then brushed to get on the point. Early moves haven't worked well with the Burke entry. Not loving the short price but the switch to Tim Tetrick, who has steered before, could be a winning difference.
6-Real Deal Lindy (5/2)-Was used hard off the gate from post 8 and the shorter field tonight should help. Looking for a smoother trip, and could be there at the wire.
Race 8 (7:18 PM EST)
2-Channing (9/5)-The money showed in its 1st parimutuel start as the Takter pupil went off at 1/2 and looked the part. May have gotten a little steppy when he pulled away down the lane, but Yannick Gingras didn't have an issue holding him together. If brings a clean mile, it should be picture time again at another small price.
Race 9 (7:37 Pm EST)
3-Disney (7/2)-Couldn't catch a well rated chalk who got her own way for much of the mile. Paced the last panel in 26.2 despite being parked 1st over at least 5/8's of a mile. Will fade #5 Blazing Belle last week's winner who went off at 2/5 and should be bet hard again seeking her 3rd straight picture. Will look for a more efficient trip from Todd McCarthy which could lead to cashing the top check.
4-Moonlight Miki (9/2)-Miki won against easier coming off cover to roll by in 151.1 and paid off at 10-1. That win came after being on the bench for close to a month after breaking stride on 6-25. Wasn't used off the gate in the last 2 races but did keep coming down the lane in the late going in both starts. Will look for a more aggressive drive by Andy Miller in the 3rd start off the bench and should be a square price.
$1.00 Early Pick 4
2,5,7/3,5,6/2/3,4
Total Bet=$18
Check me out on Twitter!