by Al Cimaglia
August 25, 2024
The Red Mile has a 17-race card, and the $1.00 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 12% takeout, and it will be my focus.
Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
Race 6 (6:40 PM EST)
3-Karl (7/5)-The post draw should work well, and it would take a bad day at the office for Karl not to win. Anything is possible but not going to look for the unlikely to happen. Currently, the Takter pupil has 5 wins in 6 starts at Lex and should be 6 for 7 at the Red Mile when this race is over.
Race 7 (6:59 PM EST)
1-Bucketlist Hanover (3-1)-Got the 2-hole and stayed there in its Red Mile debut. Comes back in sequence and should be a player. If the veteran improves in the 2nd race on the oval it could be picture time.
7-Diaboli Hanover (2-1)-Finished about a length behind #1 in the last start. Not loving the short price at all but should be there at the wire if minds its manners.
Race 8 (7:18 PM EST)
4-Clapton (5-1)-Stayed inside in last but kept coming. Finished off the mile with a 55.4 back half and should offer a square price. Andrew McCarthy takes the lines for the Erv Miller pupil and will look for continued improvement.
7-Luminary (6/5)-Faces a softer group so that's why the 6/5 morning line. Comes off some even efforts but this looks like a beatable field. Can't leave off the ticket but also can't fully trust.
Race 9 (7:37 PM EST)
1-Cover The Spread (2-1)-Comes off a sharp effort leaving from the 7-hole against this kind to win. That was a nice performance in its 2nd lifetime start and is a logical play at a small price tonight.
5-Lafitte (7-1)-Broke stride in its Lex debut then got a wide trip but still gained ground down the lane in a quick mile. The price is right to use and could be in the mix with a smooth trip.
7-Hessomestranger (6/5)-Went off at 5/2 in its 1st start at the Red Mile and was used aggressively off the gate. Did get the top but lost some steam down the lane to lose by a neck. Dexter Dunn is in the bike again, so might be bet down and needs to mind its manners. Cover The Spread rallied out of the 2-hole to win last time, and maybe the outcome will be reversed tonight.
$2.00 Early Pick 4
3/1,7/4,7/1,5,7
Total Bet=$24
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