Log In

Al Cimaglia: The Red Mile Early Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, September 1, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

September 1, 2024

The Red Mile has a 17-race card set to go featuring Kentucky bred two-year-olds. The $1.00 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $7,500 guaranteed pool with a low 12% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6 (6:40 PM EST)

1-Go Dog Go (5/2)-Hasn't missed the board when not breaking stride and in 3 races has recorded 1 win. Raced well in last but was handled conservatively after breaking in the previous race. Should get a cozy trip and Todd McCarthy could provide a more aggressive drive after putting in a flat line.
5-Chat Room (6/5)-This is handy freshman trotter who has good gate speed and can win racing at the top of the stack or coming off cover. Looks like a main player at a small price.
6-Landing On Time (7-1)-The Linda Toscano pupil has good tactical speed and should land near the leaders when the wings fold. Could surprise at a solid price if minds its manners.

Race 7 (6:59 PM EST

2-Pantsuit (9/5)-Missed by a nose in last after getting on the engine and setting quick fractions only to get caught at the wire to lose by a nose. That race went in a quick 153.1 and was off 15-days before the start. Should take control early on and this time Dexter Dunn will probably rate the mile differently, also comes back in sequence.

Race 8 (7:18 PM EST)

5-Lancelot (9/2)-Broke stride in its debut at 3/5 and finished a distant 4th. Yannick Gingras sticks with the Nancy Taker trainee and is worth another look. Willing to take a swing for a rebound and the Bar Hopping colt will be a much better price this time.
7-Wellsze J (2-1)-Raced in the slop in its Lex debut and then broke stride in the next start. Has had excuses and its last race on 8-18 was better, getting on the point and losing by a neck. Missed a start before the last outing and comes back in sequence this time. Loses Gingras but Andy MacCarthy can get the job done.
8-Ready Freddie (9/2)-Team Miller pupil has the earmarks of a handy freshman. Raced on the point and came a close 2nd after breaking stride in its debut. Then rallied off cover and rolled by at a square price. Should offer a solid price with this post draw and will string along.

Race 9 (7:37 PM EST)

1-Amazon Princess (5-1)-Princess has troubling finishing off miles. So, this is a spot to shine because she fits with others and could get a suck-around trip. Could offer some value, and if Terry Skinner saves ground, she could roll by down the lane.
4-Reddington (7/2)-The connections on this $80,000 yearling purchase are looking for some relief. Has banked only $2,376 in 12 starts but could cash the top check versus this crew. Marvin Luna can provide a good steer and hopefully won't be bet down.
7-PD's Gabriel (7/5)-Posted 1 win in 5 races at Lex this year and has never missed cashing a check. That makes her the 7/5 morning line chalk and will probably be driven like it. That's cause for pause, but hopefully Devon Tharps pushes the button at the right time and works a smooth journey.

$1.00 Early Pick 4

1,5,6/2/5,7,8/1,4,7
Total Bet=$27

Check me out on Twitter!