The Red Mile has a 12-race card with the $1.00 Early Pick 4 starting in Race 6. The sequence has a $7,500 guaranteed pool with a 12% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6 (6:40 PM EST)

4-Disney (8/5)-The Bett Pelling pupil has raced 6 times, finishing on top in 3 starts and came 2nd in the other races. The Always B Miki filly is improving and has more to give. It won't be easy tonight, #5 Blazing Belle is a nice filly who has learned how to win this year. Disney doesn't have as long of a resume but will single figuring her best race against this competition hasn't happened yet.

Race 7 (6:59 PM ET)

2-Vino Louie (5-1)-Drops, gets Dexter Dunn for the 1st time and those 2 factors shouldn't be ignored. Needs a pilot who can put the 6-year-old in a position to win, that box is checked and hopefully won't be over bet.
5-Joe McDude (6-1)-The regular pilot Jamaal Denson returns after the Big Jim 8-year-old was hung the mile. This driver still has lessons to learn. But could still bring an improved effort and should offer a large price in a contest with little form to chew on.
6-Game Of Change (5/2)-This is another who drops and gets a positive driver change in Andrew McCarthy taking the lines. Could have his way with this field with a smooth trip.

Race 8 (7:18 PM EST)

1-Skydiver (7/2)-Raced from the back in the last 2 starts and took a picture, then came 2nd. Yannick Gingras has the rail, so should be racing closer to the leaders. This is a logical play but can't see the 7/2 price holding up.
3-For July (4-1)-Started on the rail and landed 7th off the gate. But posted a win by rolling the back half in .55 and capped it off with a .27 last panel. Looks like a main player if minds its manner.
4-Bright Star (5-1)-Gets some post relief after fading down the lane in the 3 races at Lex. Willing to look for improvement from this starting spot plus could be overlooked at the windows.

Race 9 (7:37 PM EST)

1-International Law (6-1)-The Erv Miller pupil has raced well since arriving at the Red Mile except for an interference break 2 back. Does break stride from time to time so starting from the rail is tricky. But is fast enough and the price should be right to use.
2-Duke Of Walner (5/2)-Likes to get on the engine and not look back. That has been the case in the last 2 starts and will respect chances for a 3rd straight win.
7-Swan Explosion (9/2)-Raced near the top of the stack into a lively half, held position but couldn't rally down the lane. The last win was from the 8-hole here and could grind its way around at a healthy price.

$1.00 Early Pick 4

4/2,5,6/1,3,4/1,2,7
Total Bet=$27

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