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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, September 29, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

September 29, 2024

Northfield Park has a 15-race card. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 12% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)

2-Camouflage Money (5/2)-Needs to take control early on or race at the top of stack and benefit from an efficient trip. Lands in a spot that either possibility could happen.
3-Back In My Day (9/2)-Won 2 back from the same post and then moved up to face this kind. Cashed a small check in last after racing wide. Should offer a square price and could be a factor with a smooth trip.
4-Commander Bob (12-1)-Won at this level 2 back off a pocket ride. Then moved up and didn't make an impact until late to cash a 4th place check. Beat the same at 12-1 from this post on 9-15 and should be well-worth a swing at the morning line price.

Race 12 (10:02 PM EST)

3-Shamrock (10-1)- Beat this kind 2 back with Aaron Merriman between the pipes off an efficient trip. The price that night was 6/5 and could get a cozy trip here. Justin Irvine can get the job done if lands in a good seat off the gate.
6-Guido Di (5/2)-Has been bet down, was the post time favorite in the last 3 races and did disappoint recently falling a neck short. Should be another small price and draws better tonight than in the last 3 starts.
8-Tequila Talkin (5-1)-Has won 10 of 19 at Nfld and has the gate speed to get a close-up seat. The Burke entry needs to take control early on and should offer a square price. If Ronnie Wrenn can steal a quarter, it could be picture time.

Race 13 (10:24 PM EST)

4-Roll With Time (2-1)-Ships back after drawing the 7-hole against better in a no-move mile. Now lands in a more competitive level and Merriman gets the nod. Won't offer any value, lost versus this kind by a head as an odds-on choice 2-back. Will likely be an odds-on again and has a big chance to make amends.

Race 14 (10:46 PM EST)

7-Chrchviewcamlot IR (9-1)-Interesting 5-year-old has hit the board in all 8 races this year and has taken 5 pictures. Makes its Nfld debut and will take a swing at this price. Has faced better and could win if fires hot in the 1st start for the Roegner barn. But Kurt Sugg needs to do a good job.
9-The Real Way (7/2)-Comes off a sharp win at the Meadows from post 7. Merriman could follow #2 off the gate and land in a decent seat. Should be a player at a short price.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

2,3,4/3,6,8/4/7,9
Total Bet=$18

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