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Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Breeders Crown Elims | Early Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, October 19, 2024

by Al Cimaglia

October 19, 2024

The Meadowlands has a 14-race card featuring Breeders Crown Elimination races. My focus will be on the 0.50 Early Pick 4 with a $50,000 guaranteed pool, and a 15% takeout. The top five finishers in each race will qualify for next week's Final.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6 (8:15 PM EST)

1-Nijinsky (5/2)-Standout Ontario bred is a major player and regular driver Louis Roy can work an efficient trip leaving from the rail. Comes off a big win in an ONSS Final, could down this group and not be over extended.
3-Sweet Beach Life (12-1)-Swinging for a large price with a fast horse who usually draws poorly in big races on smaller ovals. Probably will be overlooked here, but winning this race may matter more to the Travis Alexander pupil than most others. Can roll late so a lively pace could make a winning difference.

Race 7 (8:40 PM EST)

3-Warrawee Michelle (3-1)-The Ake Svanstedt pupil has won 3 of 10 at M1 and that includes capturing the Hambo Oaks Final. Hasn't gotten a smooth steer in the last 2 starts, and this is an opportunity to pose off a nice trip.
8-R Melina (8/5)-The post draw does make this more interesting and have to wonder if the usual plan of getting on the point when the wings fold changes. Todd McCarthy has gate speed to use and should be there at the wire unless the trip is very bumpy.

Race 8 (9:15 PM EST)

4-It's My Show (6-1)-Canadian Pacing Derby winner has raced well at M1 and should offer a square price. The versatile Sweet Lou 4-year-old gives Scott Zeron options with this post draw.
5-Voukefalas (9/2)-The Mike Russo entry can cash the top check with a sharp steer. This feels like an opportunity to leave, land near the top of the stack and post a trip-out win.
8-Bythemissal (6/5)-Draws outside for the 3rd straight time and has made only 5 starts this year with 1 win. A top try makes the Ron Burke champ tough to beat. But could be more interested in a racing well with an efficient trip to qualify.

Race 9 (9:42 PM EST)

3-Private Access (10-1)-This is another who has been camera shy but has ability and should be dialed on high at a price. Lost by a neck in its Hambo Elim here and then drew post 9 in the slop for the Final. Using and could add value to gimmicks as well.
8-Highland Kismet (9/5)-Burned out in the last race at Lex when used hard into a 52.4 opening half. This could be the night to get back on track and it is 1st time Lasix for Karl. But from the outside Bob McClure may not look to provide a less taxing journey and will be a small price.

$1.00 Early Pick 4

1,3/3,8/4,5,8/3,8
Total Bet=$24

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