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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

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Churchill Downs 5: Post: 2:45 ET Grade: A-
Win Play: 4-Thirty Two Chunk

Forecast: Thirty Two Chunk, a big figure maiden claiming winner from Santa Anita, ships to Kentucky to take advantage of this starter’s allowance condition and should simply outclass this field. The M. Glatt-trained gelding was given an educational run in his debut before getting serious and looks capable of continuing his improving pattern for his high percentage connections despite the obvious raise in class. The son of More Than Ready is plenty quick but is drawn outside the other main speed so stalk and pounce tactics may be employed if the race flow dictates. There is excellent wagering value to be found at or near his morning line of 4-1 if you can get it.


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Churchill Downs Race 9: Post: 4:58 ET Grade: A-
Win Play: 1-Dr. Venkman

Forecast: Dr. Venkman had a right to be a tad rusty – and he wasn’t going to beat the brilliant Nysos anyway – when finishing a distant second in the fast, highly rated Triple Bend Stakes at Santa Anita in his recent comeback but with that effort behind him the M. Glatt-trained sprinter should be primed and ready to regain his winning form in this year’s edition of the Kelly’s Landing Stakes-G3. The son of Ghostzapper projects to be enjoy an ideal ground saving stalking trip and then have every chance to seal the deal when called upon at the head of the lane. His morning line of 5/2 is perfectly acceptable.


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Churchill Downs 11: Post: 6:03 ET Grade: B+
Win Play: 2-Mindframe

Forecast: Top class colt was very impressive winning the highly productive Churchill Downs S-G1 on Derby Day (pictured) despite being forced to lose considerable ground in a race in which his 99 Beyer speed figure doesn’t do him justice. Effective at any distance, the son of Constitution has a ceiling the others simply don’t have, so at 7/2 on the morning line the T. Pletcher-trained colt should come right back and win again to establish himself as the leader in the North American older handicap division.


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Churchill Downs Race 12: Post: 6:32 ET Grade: A
Win Play: 1-Reagan’s Wit

Forecast: Listed at 3-1 on the morning line, Reagan’s Wit offers excellent value at or near that price in this year’s renewal of the American Derby. Fresh from a career top win in a minor grass stakes at Pimlico, the son of Authentic was quite green but proved tons the best without being asked for anything close to his optimum effort. Nothing much more will be needed for a repeat score.


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