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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, July 6, 2025

by Al Cimaglia

July 6, 2025

 

Northfield Park has a 15-race card. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout, and the sequence will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EDT)

4-Fly High Cruiser (2-1)-Won 2 back against this kind and doesn't have big gate speed. Doesn't need to blast off the gate to take a picture and Dan Noble should have in position to win.
6-Seaside Star (5-1)-Proven winner against this kind is similar to the one above. My take is Aaron Merriman may not land on top, but he will get a good seat. There isn't a lot of gate speed in this affair, so Merriman has choices. But did beat this kind coming off cover on 6-8.

Race 12 (10:02 PM EDT)

7-Birthday (9/5)-The Burke trainee is in sharp form, drew off versus Open company at Mea. Hasn't raced at Nfld in a while but is no stranger to the winner's circle taking 7 pictures in 10 starts. Unless the classy veteran has an off night or a bumpy trip, he should have his way with this crew.

Race 13 (10:24 PM EDT)

1-Watchagonnado (5-1)-Cashed a 3rd place check at this level back on 6-8. That effort came on a "good" track and leaving from post 7. Probably needs an inside draw to win and should offer a square price. If Chris Lems pushes the button at the right time the Ron Potter entry could reward backers.
3-Twice As Much (5/2)-Comes off a nice win a ScD, was used a couple of times and rolled by down the lane. Needs a smooth trip and this will be a test. Has only raced once at Nfld but did set a 2-year-old mark on the 1/2 at Dela.
6-Rideo Cowboy (3-1)-Finished a beaten 2nd at ScD in last and missed a start after a win 2 back. Will look for an aggressive try with Merriman in the bike.

Race 14 (10:46 PM EDT)

1-Sure Things Captain (3-1)-Beat straight Open company in the spring and later had a Judges scratch at the end of May. Since then, form has been in an out but had the 8-hole in a couple of starts. This is an unproven level for most of these and will count on Merriman to be in control sooner than later.
5-Janelle Granny (5/2)-Steps up to this level after a solid effort to finish 2nd after leaving from the 2nd tier. The 4-year-old has some back class and shouldn't have an issue fitting in. Will look for pilot James Day to leave and land in a close- up seat or maybe in the pocket behind Merriman.

$1 Late Pick 4

4,6/7/1,3,6/1,5
Total Bet =$12

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