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Al Cimaglia: The Red Mile Early Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, September 27, 2025

by Al Cimaglia

September 27, 2025

The Red Mile has 15-race card with a first post coming at 1:00 PM EDT. The $1.00 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $7,500 guaranteed pool with a low 12% takeout, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6 (2:40 PM EDT)

6-Super Chapter (2/5)-Broke stride 3 back in the 1st race at Lex this year and then won the next 2 starts. Has done well at the Red Mile winning 5 of 7. Should be forwardly placed off the car and is the one to beat.
7-Big Shoes (6-1)-Will lean here in case the one above doesn't bring its fastball. The Burke pupil doesn't have the pedigree of others. But does come off a big try from post 9 last time, and on this track has the speed to stay in reach of the leaders throughout.

Race 7 (3:00 PM EDT)

1-Prince Hal Hanover (2-1)-Recent form has slipped and it could be some big miles may have taken its toll. But if 100%, Hal can carry its speed on a big track and will look for a bounce back performance. Will fade the program chalk Madden Oaks (5) coming off a sick scratch, and hopefully willl pick up some value here.
7-Fallout (9/2)-The Tony Alagna trainee is only 1-10 this season. But comes off one of its best races of the year, cashing a 2nd place check leaving from post 8. This will be the 2nd start off a sick scratch and could be sitting on a big try.
9-Sugar Man (6-1)-Raced well in the last 2 races despite drawing poorly and now makes its Lex debut. Wil take a swing for a price and does have a 149.3 mark at M1. Will probably need its best race to beat this field and could be overlooked. When Jason Bartlett teams up with the Alagna barn, they post 52% winners in 23 races.

Race 8 (3:20 PM EDT)

2-Margareta Hanover (8-1)-Will look for a price and Dexter Dunn can work a smooth steer with this post draw. Faced tough foes up North in the last 2 starts and had excuses in both races. Is winless this year but gives an honest effort and should be a big number.
5-Divine Thing (5/2)-This is a very nice Greenshoe filly who comes off a win in the Buckette. Will respect chances and could beat this crew but might be better on smaller ovals.
6-Miss Belmar (9/2)-This Noel Daily pupil is a big track horse who hasn't connected when a large purse is on the line. Has been stuck outside in the last 3 races and fits here. Could be a threat at a square price if brings its best race.

Race 9 (3:40 PM EDT)

2-Yo Tillie (2/5)-The Andrew Harris pupil is a perfect 9 for 9 this season. This gal should be on the lead shortly after the wings fold and not look back. Tillie will lose eventually but won't look for that to happen today.

$1 Early Pick 4

6,7/1,7,9/2,5,6/2
Total Bet=$18

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