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Al Cimaglia: Oct 19-Pocono Downs Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

October 19, 2018

October 19, 2018 | By Al Cimaglia

Tonight, ten Breeders Crown elimination races for 2-year-olds are on tap at The Downs at Mohegan Sun Pocono. All wagers for the entire 14-race card will have the reduced takeout rate of 15%. The Pick 4 starts in Race 6, it will be my focus and the entire sequence is comprised of elimination races. 

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track. 

Race 6 
4-Demon Onthe Hill-Will take a swing for an upset, Tetrick takes a seat and colt is familiar with a 5/8's oval. 
8-Gimpanzee-Winner of almost $300k is 7-7 and most on a small oval, big shot tonight. 
1-Chin Chin Hall-Lightly raced and that may be an advantage, Indy invader could be a good one. 

Race 7 
5-Teacherous Reign-Should be a square price and shows 51.3 speed on a 5/8's, will use on top. 
3-St Somewhere-Big speed but has had an issue with breaks on a half mile oval. 
2-Cruise-D. Miller should keep this Sweet Lou filly in the hunt, could add some pop to gimmicks. 

Race 8 
8-Warrawee Ubeaut-In the end could be the best 2-year-old pacing filly and rates an edge even from this post. 
2-Tall Drink Hanover-Winner of 8 of 9 is big threat if takes to the track. 

Race 9 
7-When Dovescry-Team Allard trainee is in fine form and could blast out and not look back. 
4-The Ice Dutchess-Program chalk will make presence felt in a tough elim. 
6-Cloud Nine Fashion-6 race win streak was snapped in last, best to respect and should like the smaller oval. 

$1 Pick 4 
1,4,8/2,3,5/2,8/4,6,7 
Total Bet=$54
 

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia