Log In

Oct 20: Pocono Downs Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

October 20, 2018

The Saturday 14-race card at Pocono will feature eight Breeders Crown elimination races for 3-year-olds and six eliminations for 4-year-olds and older. Once again there will be a 15% takeout on all wagers on the card and my focus will be the Pick 4 sequence. 

Last night David Miller, Andrew McCarthy and Bob McClure each had two wins and led the driver colony. Trainer Tony Alagna led the conditioners with two pictures. My posted Pick 4 ticket connected as the 8-3-2-7 combination paid $137.60 on a $1 wager. 

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track. 

Race 6 

7-Seviyorum-Has been holding own vs. very tough foes, most aren't in this divisions so could be the night to shine. 
3-Plunge Blue Chip-ML chalk and probable post time favorite broke in last but had won 4 straight. 
6-Impinktoo-This will be a challenge, but form suggests best to respect, could get on the engine and control race. 

Race 7 

3-Dorsoduro Hanover-Has been 2nd in 4 straight, set a LT mark of 1.49.4 here and gets a slight edge. 
1-Thinkbig Dreambig-Consistently in the hunt and if takes to the smaller oval can win it all. 
2-Ideal Feeling-Nice post draw, should handle the turns and Tetrick can keep in contention at a square price. 

Race 8 

6-Crystal Fashion-Has the gate speed to get the lead or 2 hole, may get revenge over #1 tonight. 
1-Six Pack-ML chalk looks for 5th in a row and it would be no surprise. 
5-Fiftydallarbill-Comes off a nice win at HoP and set LT mark at PcD, could upset at a nice price. 

Race 9 

6-Phaetosive-Well traveled and the model of consistency rates a slight edge in a very tough elimination. 
3-Atlanta-Hambo winner should be right there at the wire. 
2-Manchego-Hard fighting filly could battle top two to the wire if takes to the smaller oval. 

$1 Pick 4 
Total Bet=$54

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia