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Friday, December 28: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

December 28, 2018

Cal Expo begins its Winter-Spring meet tonight with a 12-race card. The feature comes in Race 5, a Fillies and Mares Open II Pace with a $6,000 purse. The 0.20 Pick 4 sequence with a $30,000 guaranteed pool starts in Race 8 and will be my focus. 

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track. 

Race 8 

5-Surprisingly Sweet-Had a 55.3 back half in last start to sweep the field for a win at this class, major player again. 
6-Gran Sam-Also scorched the 2nd half but was nipped by #5, may even the score this evening. 
7-Boozer Bruiser-Slow starter could benefit from a quicker pace, there a couple who may blast out of the gate. 

Race 9 

2-Tornado Henry-In the mix versus this bunch, Svendsen may work a better trip and find some cover. 
3-Lincoln-Needs a trip but last was better than the line shows, worth a swing at 9-1 in the ML. 
10-Caviart Spencer-Thinking the #8 will blast out and set a quick pace, that could work well for Kennedy's choice. 

Race 10 

3-Firstdibbs-One move type who comes off a win by staying on the rail, fits again and could get a similar journey. 
4-In For The Chase-Game win against many of these on 12/14, looking for a similar effort here. 
5-Mortgage My Villa-Usually around the money and now gets Sobey the regular pilot back, can win at a square price. 
6-Wizards Of Odds-2nd start for Pacheco and was Plano's choice, will respect chances. 

Race 11 

3-Who Dat Love-Has won 2 of 4 starts for Johnson and in a spot to surprise chalks with best effort. 
4-Smoke Rings-This is a better spot for Plested trainee and Svendsen should work a trip from this post. 
6-Mighty Fine Hi Ho-ML chalk looking for 1st win of the meet, similar to #4 and could see a strong try tonight. 

My Ticket 0.20 Pick 4 

Race 8) 5,6,7

Race 9) 2,3,10

Race 10) 3,4,5,6

Race 11) 3,4,6 

Total Ticket Cost) $21.60 for $0.20

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia