Log In

Saturday, January 19: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

January 19, 2019

Cal Expo has an 11-race card scheduled with the feature coming in Race 8, an Open Pace for fillies and mares with a $7,000 purse. The 0.20 Pick 4 sequence starts in Race 8, it has a $40,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout and will be my focus. 

The driver with the hottest hands last night at Cal Expo was Ryan Grundy with three winners. The top conditioner on the card was Kathy Plested with three trips to the winner's circle. 

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track. 

Race 8 

2-Burn My Villa-Steps up but mare knows how to win and could prove so at a square price. 
3-Bettor Lady-Nipped #2 in last, moves up, Lackey steers tonight and starts inside of main foes. 
7-Capitol Hill-Winner of 3 out of 5 deserves respect, skipped a start but gets some post relief and Wiseman sticks. 
8-Outrageousdelightn-Winner last week at this class will be challenged from 8-hole but not out of this. 

Race 9 

4-Moonshinenmonkeys-Kennedy steers and may improve on the last trip, looks like a major player. 
5-La Diva De Rosa-Magee's choice over #2 and #4, drops to a low level looking for a win, this is go time. 
8-Greekona-Gaps in starts are a concern but will take a swing for a price and respect connections. 

Race 10 

3-Poorlittlerichgirl-Nice win in last and wasn't the best of trips, can stay good for another picture. 
5-Nutmegs Desire-Blasted out but faded, may get the top again, take control and not look back. 
6-Shez A Swift-Camera shy but comes off a win which was an improved effort, will respect chances for an encore. 

Race 11 

3-Cenalta Glory-3-year-old broke maiden in last, might be able to handle the older foes in this field. 
5-Twin B Delightful-Came the last 1/2 in .58 in a much-improved effort for the win, can take another photo here. 
7-Sun Beau Toughie-Last 2 were better and is in the hunt with the right trip. 

My Ticket

Race 8) 2,3,7,8

Race 9) 4,5,8

Race 10) 3,5,6

Race 11) 3,5,7 

Total Ticket Cost) $21.60 for $0.20 

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia.