Log In

Saturday, March 23: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

March 23, 2019

The feature at Cal Expo is carded as Race 10, a Fillies and Mares Open II Pace with a $6,000 purse. The popular 0.20 pick 4 rolls in Race 8. The sequence has a $40,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus. 

Last night the driver with the hottest hands at Cal Expo was James Kennedy with five wins. The top conditioner on the card was Gordon Graham with two trips to the winner's circle. 

The Can-Am Pick 4 had a nice debut on Friday with $57,489 in the pool as the 5-7-2-5 combo paid $596.51 on a 0.20 wager. My ticket was only good in three of four races as Doug McNair won the third leg and was off my radar. 

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track. 

Race 8 

5-Double Mystery-Was bet some early and didn't get the best of trips versus a speedy winner, using here. 
6-Speak English-Camera shy but raced well and Kennedy's choice over #9 who he always drives. 
7-Directing Traffic-Missed a start but now drops to lowest level of the meet, can take a picture if brings "A" game. 

Race 9 

2-Johnny Gun-Drops, makes 2nd start for new barn and Plano makes his debut, will respect in a wide-open dash. 
3-Cenalta Diesel-Steps up but comes out of 2 quick miles, will need a trip but is long shot worth a swing. 
6-I'm Blue Too-Beat up on cheaper but 10-yr-old is 9 of 36 at CalX and is another who could pop versus this bunch. 
7-Imma Tank-Drops and Sobey should work an up-front seat without much sweat, at a square price with a trip. 
9-Hi Ho's Little Rev-Tepid 7/2 ML chalk is tough to dismiss, but not too hard to swing against and hope trip is rough. 

Race 10 

2-Legio X Equestris-Went down the road with a 55.2 last half, steps-up but fits and can make it 2 straight. 
6-Delightfully Wild-Qualified well and beat straight Open company on 1-5, could win first start off the bench. 
7-Magnifique-Short field and not very deep, Plano will keep in play and could snag 2nd win of the year. 

Race 11 

1-Hot Dandy-Not bad last week in 1st start off bench, Longo's choice needs a trip but will consider for an upset. 
7-Miki's Magic Ride-3-yr-old looks like a major player with a smooth trip versus a field of mares and older geldings. 

My Ticket

Race 8) 5,6,7

Race 9) 2,3,6,7,9

Race 10) 2,6,7

Race 11) 1,7 

Total Ticket Cost) $18 for $0.20

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia